Volume 18, Number 2

ISSN 1832-7249 - April 2005

International Roundup

The electronic journal of the
International Cost Engineering Council

A Journal of Cost Engineering, Project Management
and Quantity Surveying
Single HTML File (with fewer graphics) Version
Table of Contents Roundup News Chairman's Message and Articles Coming Events
Member Reports Book Reviews Labor and Structural Steel Prices ICEC Home Page

International Roundup is published twice a year by the International Cost Engineering Council (ICEC), a worldwide confederation of cost engineering, project management, and quantity surveying associations.

ICEC has no individual members. Participation in ICEC affairs is only through membership in one of the ICEC societies which, in combination, represent over 100,000 cost management professionals in more than 120 countries.

The following sections of International Roundup are contained at other locations on this web site. Please click on the links below to view these.

Material for International Roundup should be submitted to:

Robyne Nash
International Cost Engineering Council
PO Box 301
Deakin West ACT 2600
AUSTRALIA
Phone: 61 2 6282 2222
Email: icec@icoste.org
Home page: http://www.icoste.org

Please note: Each ICEC member society is requested to submit information for the next International Roundup no later than 31 August 2005.

The Secretary-Treasurer of the International Cost Engineering Council is
Dr Kenneth K. Humphreys PE CCE (AACE I, ACostE, AICE, CEASA). He can be contacted at:

1168 Hidden Lake Drive
Granite Falls, NC 28630
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Phone: 1 828 7285287
Email: kenh@icoste.org

Members are invited to submit jpg photographs for inclusion in the next International Roundup

Table of contents

Roundup News

ICEC Chairman's Message

Verster, Professor JJP (Basie)
Message from the Chairman: A few steps to the future (Link to PDF version.)

Feature and Technical Articles

Hanscomb
The rise of China, 25 years of globalisation in Hanscomb Means Report, International Construction Intelligence Vol. 16, No. 9, July / August 2004 (Link to PDF version.)
Humphreys, Dr Kenneth K
Conducting project risk analyis, How to do it and how not to do it - Paper presented at the 2003 NORDNET, Olso, Norway, September 2003. (Link to PDF version.)
Kavaleff, Anette, Koskelainen, Katja and Kousa, Marjaana
Contractual changes, Control value and manage risks - Paper presented at the 2004 NORDNET, Helsinki, Finland, September 2004. (Link to PDF version.)
Pannenbäcker, Klaus
Needs four-level-certification, The four-level qualification? - Paper presented at the 2004 SENET Conference, Bratislava, Slovakia, September 2004. (Link to PDF version.)

Coming Events

Member Society Reports

AACE International (AACEI) Ghana Institution of Surveyors (GhIS)
Associazione Italiana d'Ingegneria Economica (AICE) Institute of Quantity Surveyors of Kenya (ISQK)
Australian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (AIQS) Japan Society of Cost and Project Engineers (JSCPE)
Canadian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (CIQS) Nigerian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (NIQS)
CEASA Project Control and Support Specialists Norsk Forening for Prosjektledelse (NFP)
Foreningen for Dansk Projektledelse (FDP) Project Management Austria (PMA)

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Roundup News

Forthcoming Conferences

A number of international quantity surveying conferences will be held over the coming months. They all promise world-class programs and will be held in outstanding venues accross the world. These include:

ICEC Regional Annual Meetings will be held in conjunction with the conferences in China, Denmark, Nigeria and the United States.

Also don't forget that the 5th World Congress on Cost Engineering, Project Management, and Quantity Surveying and 19th International Cost Engineering Congress will be held in Ljubljana, Slovenia between 23 and 26 April 2006.

Selected forthcoming events are featured in the Coming Events page of each issue of International Roundup. Please contact the ICEC Secretariat if you would like your coming event to be featured in the October issue or to have it included in the ICEC Calendar


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AIQS and ASAQS sign Reciprocity Agreement

ICEC member associations, the Australian Institute of Quantity Suveyors (AIQS) and the South African Association of Quantity Surveyors (ASAQS) signed a membership Reciprocity Agreement last November. ASAQS and AIQS face similiar challenges in developing,promoting and regulating the profession their country.

According to AIQS General Manager, Terry Sanders, "the Reciprocity Agreement is a further example of the benefit of mutual arrrangements that do not threaten local national Institutes and demonstrates the international QS professsion's preference for the "United Nations" approach to global co-operation rather than the dominations of one body."

In addition to the reciprocity agreement, the two institutes agreed to exchange professional development resources and research reports and liaise on education developments and development of standards and competencies. AIQS and CIQS exchanged copies of their manuals, texts, guidelines and practice notes at the Annual General Meeting.


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Nigerian President to meet with QS delegation

The President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, will meet with a delegation from Africa Association for Quantity Surveyors and the International Cost Engineering Council before the official opening of the 3rd Triennial General Assembly of the Africa Association of Quantity Surveyors and the Annual Meeting of ICEC Reion 3. The theme of the congress will be "New Economic Partnership for African development (NEPAD) - Challenges for built environment professionals in Africa.


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International Expert Seminar collaboration with ICEC a first for Spain

The III IPMA-ICEC International Expert Seminar and the VIII International Congress on Project Engineering, which was held October last year in Bilboa, was the first scientific activity dealing with both engineering costs and project management held in Spain.

The Expert Seminar was also the first collaboration between the International Cost Engineering Council (ICEC) and the Asociación Española de Ingeniería de Proyectos (AEIPRO) which joined the Council in 2003.

ICEC Chairman, Professor J (Basie) Verster and Frank Berry represented ICEC at the conferences which were held concurrently. Professor Verster addressed both AIEPRO's General Assembly and the Gala Dinner at the conclusion of the event.

The opening speech, "Strategic Delivery Capability", was given by Doctor Lynn Crawford of the University of Technology, Sydney, Australia. The closing address, "Mulitproject Management" was presented by Mr Eduardo Serrano, the Operational Director of SENER.

The IV IPMA-ICEC International Expert Seminar will be held 23-24 June 2005 in Malaga, Spain;

Click here to view the report of the III IPMA-ICEC International Expert Seminar




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ICEC certification and continuing professional development programs

ICEC member societies which have not yet submitted an application for recognition of their certification or continuing professional development programs are urged to do so in order to gain worldwide recognition, both for the programs and for the individuals who have earned certification.

Application for accreditation of any project management, cost engineering, or quantity surveying program may be made online at http://www.icoste.org/certapp.htm.

Criteria for recognition of programs appears at http://www.icoste.org/guidl.htm.



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Chairman's Message and Articles

Message from the Chairman: A few steps to the future

Introduction

The next ICEC international world congress will take place in April 2006 and ICEC should prepare itself once again to establish its influence and reinforce the network and skills of the ICEC society.

To this end it remains urgent that ICEC and the associations of ICEC remain focussed on continuing the path of international co-operation, influence, development and the pro-active establishment of infrastructures to improve the knowledge, skills and attitudes of professionals through the ICEC Continuous Professional Development (CPD) system.

Continuous professional development

ICEC, through its member associations, has established many CPD opportunities for professionals world wide and should continue to encourage member associations to implement sound CPD and accreditation systems. This will inevitably result in strengthening ICEC as a learned society.

The Council Meeting and Congress

ICEC Members should also be prepared for active participation during the next council meeting and the world congress in Slovenia.

Participation is important to share ideas within the council and to establish new networks and further ensure the interaction between associations and international bodies. It also affords the opportunity to influence the way forward and for associations to remain internationally relevant.

The ICEC World Congress – 2006 - Slovenia

Member associations and members of associations are also encouraged to participate in this wonderful opportunity, to network, meet friends, learn about new developments, share ideas and further develop association and individual skills.

Most associations accept participation and attendance of the congress as a CPD activity which enables individuals to obtain or retain registration, certification or licensing.

The congress promises to be an outstanding event with streams that should please cost engineers, quantity surveyors, project managers and other professionals in the engineering and built environments.

The congress will focus on value and specifically added value for stakeholders. Interesting papers by experts from all over the world will be delivered on risk-, cost-, value-, traffic-management and quantity surveying.

It is also important that academics and experts react to the invitation and send in their abstracts for adjudication. For cost engineering, quantity surveying and project management it is of utmost importance that pressing problems in many parts of the world also be debated to ensure that the challenges and opportunities that exist are understood. Same areas where the professions may add some value to the congress, that should also be debated, are:

  • Health and safety;
  • HIV/AIDS and human resources;
  • Housing;
  • The total environment (psychological and physical);
  • Sustainable development;
  • Mature societies;
  • Intellectual and emotional attitudes; and
  • Dispute resolution.

The activities, meetings and social events promise to make the congress a very special event.

Activities of ICEC

The following activities, within ICEC or its member associations, are important and deserve the attention of all ICEC members:

  • World Vision: During the following year the vision towards creating standards for quality service world wide needs to be confirmed at the council meeting. This drive by the AIQS is one of the most important activities that ICEC is involved in. Participation at the ICEC council meeting in 2006 is therefore even more important.
  • Housing: The role of ICEC in respect of the United Nations and the Habitat drive will also be very important and the contribution by Murtala Oladapo must be supported.
    ICEC is now registered as a Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) with UN-Habitat, the United Nations’ (UN) Human Settlements Program. Formal application has been made to the UN for Consultative status with the UN Economic and Social Council and recognition as a Roster Category NGO.
    This is a very important development for ICEC and its association, showing the growing influence of ICEC in the international arena.
  • Education and research: Education and research activities within the ICEC stable are fundamental to maintain the credibility of ICEC, ICEC members and professionals.
    It is trusted that the academic and education forum at the congress will establish a stronger momentum and will in so doing create an active debate within ICEC’s membership. This has to be one of the main drives in ICEC circles.

Other foci

The debate within ICEC should continue and also include new trends and other areas of possible involvement. Some of these areas are:

Globalization, emotional intelligence, poverty, conflict areas, health, safety, the environment, intellectual and skills maturity, and sustainable developments.

It is important that the above activities should continue and grow and that the ICEC association’s influence strengthen towards enabling communities and sustainability.

Professor JJP Verster
Chairman
International Cost Engineering Council

References

AIQS, 2004. World’s Best Practice in Quantity Surveying. What it means to you. AIQS Brochure.

BRÜMMER, D.G., 2004. Challenges in Quantity Surveying in South Africa – Procuring the future. International Cost Engineering Council 4th World Congress, Volume 2


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The rise of China, 25 years of globalisation

Reprinted with permission from Hanscomb Means Report, International Construction Intelligence, Vol. 16, No. 9, July / August 2004

When Deng Xiaoping initiated economic reform policies in 1979 China was a relatively closed society. After gaining control in 1949, the communist government had limited trading partners. Historically China moves from open trade - the Silk Road - to discouraging trade - portions of the Ming and Qing dynasties. Is China poised to become the powerful global presence its size would ordain?

The first economic reforms focused primarily on agriculture, but China began to open cautiously to the world. The government established five Special Economic Zones - three in Guangdong Province - in 1980. Other economic zones followed as the reforms expanded. The slow transition from centrally planned economy continued. In 1992, the economic reform program moved into the "socialist market economy" period. The move to open trade culminated in China's admission to the World Trade Organization (WTO) - after much negotiation - in December 2001.

The coastal region - where most of the population lives - has attracted most of the foreign investment. China's "Western Development Strategy" began in 2000 to attract development in the inland regions. Realized values of foreign direct investment (FDI) into China reached USD 500 billion by the end of 2003. FDI totaled less than USD 19 billion during the 1980s.

Foreign investment is enabling China to become a leading producer of many goods. However, increased consumption of basic commodities is a consequence of manufacturing growth. Construction to provide infrastructure supporting the growth consumes increasing amounts of cement and steel.

Since reform began, the economy has enjoyed a historically unprecedented growth rate - an average annual growth rate of about 9 percent for 25 years. China's share of world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is now 10 percent. GDP per capita rose to USD 1,087 in 2003 - a five-fold increase since reform began. Accompanying is a rise in spending for consumer goods - televisions, refrigerators, washing machines and mobile phones.

Even automobile sales are rising. With the explosion of cars, there is mayhem on the already crowded roads of the major urban areas from the lack of rules. The Chinese now have the expression "che piq" (car temper) in their vocabulary to describe road rage.

Sheer volume of consumption does not tell the potential. After all, this is the world's most populous country - 1.3 billion. (China and India have over one-third of the world's population.) A look at the underlying per capita values explains the real interest. Compared with other developed countries, the appetite for consumption can only grow.

Investors are seeking markets and lower production costs.

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The Push-Pull of China

Barry Piper, Director of Atkins Faithful & Gould in China, discussed the Push-Pull of China at the recent China Investment Forum.

The significant pull factor for many is that China is an inexpensive place for business. Low cost and abundant labor and low start-up and operating costs attract labor-intensive industries. China offers investment incentives - import/export, tax and land - and the state provides large subsidies for infrastructure improvements.

China's entry into the WTO only increases attractiveness for offshore procurement and manufacturing. Total import and export volume increased from USD 509.7 billion in 2001 to USD 851.2 billion in 2003. Exports are only slightly higher than imports.

The push factors are many. China is transforming - still a work in progress - so there are higher risks. Rule of law is still an issue as the "sanctity of contracts" and protection of intellectual property rights remains a concern for investors. Internal protectionism remains high.

Despite extremely high growth rates, there are serious concerns about the economy. State owned enterprise (SOE) reform is slow. Productivity increases compared with non-state enterprises are small. Their economic performance is lackluster. Authorities are phasing out uncompetitive companies - large consumers of energy and environmentally unfriendly companies are prime targets.

The financial system has troubles intertwined with the SOEs. Loans to the non-profitable SOEs create an accumulation of bad loans. China has transferred funds to banks for several years. Estimates of non-performing loans vary widely - between RMB 2,000 billion and RMB 4,000 billion for the four large state-owned banks. Banks are selling their non-performing loans to state-owned asset management companies in preparation for public offerings of bank shares to investors.

On the positive side, the savings rate of the Chinese is among the highest in the world.

While it may be difficult to conceive in a rapidly expanding economy, unemployment-estimated at about 20 percent - is growing. Privatization and downsizing of SOEs are primary reasons. There are signs of unrest as the transformation from centrally planned to market oriented economy is painful.

Investors must always consider quality. Quality of labor remains an issue, as does procurement quality control. It is inexpensive to do business in China, but quality can add to the cost. Investigate and understand typical quality of service and product. Consider local standards for Health, Safety and Environment (HSE) procedures. Without implementing "Western" standards for HSE, investors can expect higher rates of accidents and loss of life. Higher standards produce higher costs.

Corruption problems are well known. Improved transparency is the government's goal, but investigations still find corruption at all levels of the government. The death penalty is a possible punishment for officials found guilty of corruption.

George Kluempke of Braun Intertec, an infrastructure engineering company in Minneapolis, Minnesota, cautioned the group to remember that the "Chinese people are ethical, but the Chinese system applies ethics differently." Professional standards and policies are different. It is important to understand this.

Piper noted that local contractors realize that the project completion date is critical. They might delay completion to have the contract renegotiated. It is part of the Chinese culture - negotiations aren't final. The contract is only the basis for further negotiations. Project budgets need to have reserves for the renegotiations.

Culture Clash

China is different from anywhere else in the world. Perhaps cultural aspects present the greatest challenges. "The Chinese have all the time in the world," said Piper. "They use attrition - wait you out - to get what they want." Your Chinese counterpart has some basic understanding of your cultural leanings just as you of the Chinese.

Piper presented viewpoints from a publication of the Fujian Foreign Investment Bureau illustrating how the Chinese perceive other nationalities:

  • Japanese - "polite and modest ... very astute and patient ... they often put things off so they can find your real intention";
  • Americans - "quick ... we should not take too long";
  • British - "careful and very hard to get close to";
  • Germans - "pay attention to the contract ... require every detail to be negotiated ... afterwards everything has to be followed strictly by the contract"; and
  • Australians - "have the power to make decisions ... expect the same with us ... very efficient ... do not like to set price high at the start and then reduce by haggling".

Kluempke said they would have liked "a better understanding of culture and business practice" before investing in China.

Expectations

Investors should realize that the Chinese have expectations of the foreign investor. China's opening-up policy was and remains about the desire to acquire needed foreign equipment and technology. The government expects their WTO agreement to act as a political lever to help accomplish the necessary internal reforms.

The expectations of the foreign investor and a Chinese joint venture partner are likely to be very different. Kluempke told the group that it is important to "make sure the expectations are aligned." Their joint venture partner's goals were very different. Braun Intertec viewed the joint venture as a long-term investment, but sought a return on the investment. Local public entity partners were not focused on returning profit to investors. They wanted to improve the standard of living for themselves and the company employees.

Piper quoted the Chinese saying "Sleeping in the same bed, but having different dreams," to illustrate the potential problems with joint ventures.

Investors need to do their homework. Presenters left several keys to being successful in China:

  • Understand and embrace the Chinese and their culture;
  • Build relationships with the Chinese;
  • Show commitment to China;
  • Realize that institutions are evolving. Changes will continue; and
  • Hold your Chinese partner accountable.

"It is simple," said Piper about the approach to working in China, "starting right equals finishing right."

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Conducting project risk analysis, How to do it and how not to do it

Dr Kenneth K Humphreys

I want to tell you a few things about Michael Curran, the President of Decision Sciences Corporation, who was the real pioneer of what this paper is about, project risk analysis. In 1964 he was ensconced in a career at Monsanto Chemical Company reading the Harvard Business Review, Jan/Feb 1964 issue. He was reading an article by David B. Hertz, "Risk Analysis in Capital Investment."

This article has been so popular that it was republished in 1979 and has been reprinted many times since. Curran recognized that Hertz was talking about some particular technique most of us have some familiarity with. Although Hertz never used the term, he was talking about Monte Carlo Simulation and how it could be used to address key issues in the problem of capital planning.

Monte Carlo Simulation is a technique devised by two brilliant mathematicians, John von Neuman and Oscar Morgenstern, the co-developers of game theory. They developed this to answer a problem in particle physics in the Manhattan Project in the 40's.

Once von Neuman and Morgenstern developed game theory, it wasn't long before other scientists and engineers realized the power of Monte Carlo. But in the article Curran saw that for the first time someone was suggesting that we could use it in business practice. It made so much sense to him that in 1968 he formed a corporation to do this full time, Decision Sciences Corp. His firm has pioneered the field of project risk analysis in the United States.

Curran observed that there were not many building blocks that decision makers use. In no particular order units is one of them. Units of service required or rendered, units constructed, square meters of building space, etc. Another building block is currency, in whatever way you count it-- Euros, dollars, yen, etc. In some cases we see combinations of these things in the decision process, for example dollars/square meter.

Another is time. Time to complete a project, time to construct a building, etc. Again, combinations may appear, for example dollars/month or Euros/unit.

The decision makers however often do not adequately consider a fourth variable, risk. What is this fourth variable? What is risk? Here is one definition.

Risk: The degree of dispersion of variability around the expected or best value which is estimated to exist for the economic variable in question, for example a quantitative measure of the upper and lower limits which are considered reasonable for the factor being estimated.

Isn't that confusing? An engineer wrote that - and it is a part of an American National Standard. I guess engineers understand that but it is better to define it with an example - an example in plain English.

Risk (Plain English Explanation): I think it will cost $1 million, but there's a chance that it might be a little higher or a little lower.

Let's explore this fourth variable -- risk or whatever else you may call it -- by a thought experiment. Let's suppose you have an investment decision before you. You have to choose either Alternative A or Alternative B. All you know about Alternative A is it has an estimated return rate of 50%; with Alternative B, it's 30%. You know nothing else. You choose "A". It's a no-brainer.

But suppose someone comes along just before the decision is made to give you additional information. "A", with an estimated return of 50%, gives you a 15% chance of seeing it. With "B" you get a 90% chance of seeing it.

Do you want to change your mind? 90%+ will want to change their minds. What has changed your mind? The fourth variable, of course -- certainty or risk or probability.

Probability in certain quantitative decision making processes can make an immense difference in the final outcome. Probability. And that's what hurts us. We're dealing with the uncertainty world here. How can we pretend that uncertainty doesn't exist?

Now, if you're talking about the first 3 of these variables - units, currency, time - you're talking about the world of accounting. There is no uncertainty in accounting. It is precise. But if you include probability in your discussions, it is no longer the world of accounting. It is the world of decision making and there is a vast difference. In accounting, if all of the rows and columns don't add up, you work day and night to correct things so that they will. You remove the uncertainty. That can't be done in decision making. Uncertainty always exists.

You've got to become a risk analyst.

What does that mean? Do you need to sit in front of a computer and bite your nails? Does it mean you have to have all the courses in probability theory and statistics? Do you really have to go through all that? No, you don't.

You only have to understand what you already understand about probability theory, and I'm assuming you never had a course in it. You already understand 2 key issues:

  1. The probability number can influence decisions; and
  2. You can measure the variability of a quantity as a simple range.

It won't get lower than this; it won't get higher than that. A simple range to indicate the areas of risk and of opportunity.

Here is Curran's rule that you should follow:

If you are worried about the degree of uncertainty in any bottom line and that uncertainty is the result of multiple numerical uncertainties, perform a risk analysis.

The reason we can bring a powerful technique like Monte Carlo to bear on this problem and have managers understand it is due to the fact that business risk analysis is not rocket science. It's not the same. It is much simpler.

If you talk to these decision makers and ask what level of variance that are willing to accept in making decisions related to quantitative values involving risk, they inevitably will say 5 to 10%.

If you ask that same question of a rocket scientist he will ask if you are out of your mind. They can't tolerate errors for fear of the space vehicle going out into deep space instead of orbiting the earth or the target planet. They can't tolerate error.

It's a different world. Because it is a different world and because we are more tolerant of some error in most engineering or construction projects, we can de-escalate the requirements on the part of the user of Monte Carlo. You don't have to understand all the nuances and the intricacies of the technique.

You don't have to be a large company to benefit from this as was the case before the PC arrived. The only kinds of problems that were solved before the PC were big problems - big budgets, big problems.

All of that has changed.

Suppose you do a risk analysis and tell your management you have a 70% chance of success. You'd think they would jump for joy. They won't.

They'll say something like this, "Well, wait a minute. I have a 70% chance of success. That must mean I have a 30% chance of failure. What if this project goes does not meet its objectives? How much of a loss am I going to have to take? In other words, What's my exposure?"

There have been all sorts of attempts to answer that question, the most notable one being the worst case scenario wherein we take our plan and look at each item in the plan and make it the absolute worst we can imagine it ever to be and we calculate a whole new bottom line. We look at it and say, "Wow! That's terrible!"

Of course, it's terrible. That's the theoretical worst case scenario. It's so mathematically remote that at best it is useless; at worst it's misleading. It may actually scare people off unduly.

Anyhow, what we need is to have a good answer to this, not some theoretical answer. Guess what will give that to you? Monte Carlo Simulation.

If, for example, you have performed a risk analysis and told management that they have a 70% chance of success and that they have a 65% exposure. What does that mean? That means that the bottom line decision variable can erode by as much as 65% of the target value. That's what it means.

"Why?" will be the next question they'll ask. "Why will it be that way?" And specifically they want to look at a ranked list of risks and opportunities. The reason they want to look at such a list is so they can search for controllables, they can challenge the management team to come up with alternative strategies and tactics, and they can test these alternatives in a Monte Carlo environment.

It turns out Monte Carlo is not only a great tool for evaluating a current plan; it's a marvelous tool for evolving a better one. It's used that way all the time.

There are some follow-up questions we could address. On capital cost estimates, for example, when you ask your engineering estimators or quantity surveyors to give you answers, they always give you answers you don't like. Right? They are too vague. And then you understand why because at that very line above the last line of the estimate they put something in at the last minute. What's that called? Contingency.

Why is it often 10%? Because they don't know what to put in there. It's not scientific. They don't know what to put in there. Some companies even have a policy of 10% contingency in all estimates. They don't know why. They know that it is necessary to include contingency but they don't know how much, so they use 10%. It is a nice round number.

If you were using Monte Carlo you would know what to put in there because you would recognize that the amount of contingency needs to be balanced with the concept of confidence. Confidence in what? Confidence you won't overrun your budget.

Now if you want to have a lot of confidence, the contingency required will increase. Everybody understands that. The allocation of contingency may also be important. And the competitive tendering problem is certainly an exciting application of risk analysis. We all understand the problem with that, right? Bid too low and you get the work you should never have had. Bid too high and some competitor will come in and take it away from you and make money on it. Those are bad scenarios. They can be addressed very well with Monte Carlo.

When you sit down and look at risk analysis, you'll know how it's done. There are several ways to do it - heuristics, multiple linear regression, etc.

Just take my word for it. That problem was solved years and years ago. There are now software programs on the market, PC-based, that do Monte Carlo. Technically they're excellent. They all answer the 3 questions. That's what you really need to understand.

I could tell you all kinds of stories about how people have benefited from this.

In 1991, for example, there was a project of $254 million by Alcan that everybody and his brother thought was going to overrun. It didn't. It under-ran. And it was completed 2 months early.

Three other projects Alcan was managing at that same time were all completed 2-4% under plan. The CEO of Alcan said in Fortune, "Ever since we have been using these techniques, we've saved over a hundred million dollars in our capital planning."

In medicine there is something called iatrogenic disease. It's a disease given to the patient by the physician. Iatros in the Greek means physician. Iatrogenic disease in other words is physician-induced disease.

We also have risk analyst induced risk. How do we get that? By violating some of the simple rules I am going to explain thus understating the true exposure in the decision. It's just the opposite of the other problem where we do the worst case scenario and it overstates the exposure. You're going to tell the management, "Hey, the profit probably won't go lower than that." And indeed it can go down much further. or, "Our cost won't go higher than that" and it goes to the moon. This differential, this lack of understanding of the problem of proper exposure, we term iatrogenic risk.

You know what? In your project estimate, your business plan, your forecast, your budget, whatever you call it, the uncertainty is concentrated in a select number of elements-- typically 10 to 20. And if you don't understand which ones they are, if you don't take the time and trouble to measure the uncertainty of each of them, if you don't take the time and trouble to combine those uncertainties into some bottom line uncertainty using a technique like Monte Carlo, you will never get to the right answer.

This particular phenomenon basically means what? Not everything is important. That's what it means. And that's what this is saying. Very few things are really important. I don't care about all those others. This is called variously the Law of the Significant Few and the Insignificant Many or the 80/20 rule. Others refer to it by the name of a person who has been most honored in the literature. Who might that be? Pareto. It's Pareto's Law.

Vilfredo Pareto was a brilliant Italian sociologist and economist. About 100 years ago he decided to examine how wealth was distributed from country to country. His conclusion was that in any given country a small percentage of the population would collectively account for most of the wealth. He published his findings, and the economists have been making hay out of this for a century. The fact of the matter is that this principle applies well beyond economics. It extends to such issues as the distribution of populations of people and much more.

Let's make some very simple observations. If you take your plan--let's make it a simple plan, a cost estimate - once you understand how this applies to costs, you can easily extend it to any problem situation. Let's say it's an estimate of cost of what it will take to renovate an office building. It's a conceptual plan, not a detailed estimate.

Let's assume that the conceptual estimate for the office renovation is $1 million. Let's further assume that of the $1 million, you have 3 components of cost: labor at $600,000, equipment at $300,000, and materials at $100,000. You and your project management team review this plan. You form a list, and on this list will be each element of your plan but in this specific order. The highest dollar value is at the top of the list, and the one that has the lowest is at the bottom of the list. They are all graduated in descending order in-between.

Think about that list for a moment. If you start reading down from the top of the list, you will find that it is an example of Pareto's Law. It won't take many elements, starting at the top, to collectively account for most of that million dollar bottom line. We know this from experience.

Is this example important in the proper management of the fourth variable. What do you think? The answer is "No." It's very important to understand that this list, although it is an example of Pareto's Law, is not the one we want to talk about. Guess what? He's so prevalent, he's in the plan in two distinctly different ways. That's the first way.

Let's talk about forming a new list. In this list we'll rank all the elements of the plan in a much different fashion. Each element will be on this list based on how much it can change your bottom line. And we don't care in which direction. I want to know only the amount of change, positive or negative. I don't care what the value of that change is or what its sign is. I only want to know its magnitude. That's where we put the element on this list. We end up with a new list - a much different one. The one at the top of the list is there because there is no other element in that plan that can change the bottom line by more than it can. That's why it's at the top of the list. All the way down, in descending order, according to what they can do to, or for, the bottom line.

With that list, we start looking down from the top. There's another Pareto effect. Specifically this effect. You look at the top of the list. It won't take many elements at all to collectively account for most of the uncertainty in your plan. Obviously this list isn't the same as the first list. This new list is the one we need to worry about.

The really important question is when do I decide to draw the line on that kind of a list? When do I decide if something is critical or not? It took Michael Curran 4 years to figure out, and he did it empirically. He looked at a lot of decision processes in industry, government, and education with a rule of thumb in mind. He had to come up with a rule of thumb so that people could tell whether something was critical or not - so they would know whether they need a range or not. He first published this is 1973. He has never had reason to change what he found out then. It has stood the test of time.

Here are the simple rules:

Critical elements are those which can cause bottom line changes greater than:

Bottom Line Expense Profit
Conceptual ±0.5% ±5.0%
Detailed ±0.2% ±2.0%
  • Do not range non-critical elements
  • Link strongly related elements

The first rule is "You better know when it is important and when it's not." That is when it's critical and when it's not. This is what you're looking at in here.

Criticality depends on 2 things. It depends on the nature of your bottom line--is it a cost or a profit type of line? Profit here doesn't necessarily mean what it means in accounting. In the risk analysis concept, profit is any variable which, when it gets higher and higher in value, it makes you happier and happier. Labor productivity is a good example of such a variable.

If the bottom line is cost, as it is in our simple example of the office renovation problem, we look at the first row in the table. The next question is, "What is the nature of the planning process?" Have you measured everything you can reasonably be expected to measure here? Do you have a detailed plan? Or, in this case, a conceptual plan.

So we're looking at ±0.5%. What that tells you is that number should be multiplied by your bottom line of a million dollars, and your answer is $5000. That's where the cutoff is. Anything in our plan that can change our bottom line up or down by at least $5000 should be deemed critical, should be given a range, should be paid the respect it's due.

Because of our friend Pareto you won't find many - typically 10 to 20. This is true even with the largest of decisions.

In our office renovation project what we are saying is, "Applying this principle, a change equal to or greater than $5000 at the bottom line qualifies the element as critical." $600,000 of our million dollar plan is in labor, $300,000 in equipment, and $100,000 in materials. How do you decide whether something is critical or not? Not by developing some crazy list, but by starting at the top of the pyramid and going down as far as necessary to find all of them. Always start at the top, never in the middle, or worse yet, at the bottom. That will produce a horrible outcome.

Question: Can you change the bottom line up or down by at least, in this case, $5000? I'll repeat - Can you change the bottom line up or down by at least $5000? If you are asking that question of the bottom line itself, and your answer comes back No, that obviously tells you there's not enough uncertainty in this decision to warrant this kind of treatment. Forget about doing a Monte Carlo. It's a waste of time.

If, on the other hand, the answer comes back Yes, that doesn't necessarily mean you've found a critical element. It means you are given permission to ask the same question of the numbers that support this number. So I say, "Yes, it's possible for that to change our bottom line by $5000." Then I go to the numbers that support this one and go to the next level down, asking the same question in turn of each of those numbers. For example, if I'm looking at materials, I'll ask the same question. "Can you change the bottom line by at least $5000?"

I don't care if this thing changes. What matters is if it can change by at least $5000. If the answer is No, it has no critical elements. How could it?

Eventually one of two things will happen. As you go down through the pyramid, you'll get to one of two conditions. One condition, which is not so frequent, is that a number looks critical. You look below the number to see what supports it, and there isn't anything there. What you've managed to do is discover a critical element at the very lowest level of detail.

Much more frequently you will find elements at the higher end of the pyramid. And you get to a point where the answer is Yes. You look at the numbers that support that number. Each may have its own variability, but when you ask each the same question, not one of them has sufficient variability to change the bottom line by $5,000 or more. That means you go back to where you were, the one number that represents the others, and you call that number your critical element. That is the far more frequent event.

You'll find these at various levels, but primarily in the middle level or top. One thing for sure, you won't find many because of Pareto.

What about all the other elements? We need to understand there is a planning philosophy that works to the detriment of people who employ it. It goes like this: The boss says, "We want a good plan." What does that mean? Most people interpret that to mean a plan that's neither optimistic or nor pessimistic. You don't want to be too far out either way. How do you get there?

Here's the philosophy. We'll get there if we take every piece of our plan and stick the target right in the middle - don't make it optimistic - don't make it pessimistic - stick it right in the middle. You put your plan together that way, and you won't have to worry. When this plan hits the real world, sure, something will go wrong, but you'll be able to look around and find something else going right to counteract it. Since we have so many elements in our plan, it'll be a wash.

Do you recognize this thinking? It's called various things - the Pluses will equal the Minuses, and the more mathematically inclined refer to it as the Sum of the Deviations will approach zero. Others incorrectly call it the Law of Large Numbers. Whatever you call it, it's fallacious. It makes the assumption that uncertainty is spread evenly and equally around your plan. It isn't. It's concentrated, typically in 10 to 20 items. That's why it's wrong.

Once we've identified those 10 to 20 elements, you can take the Pluses and Minuses approach to the rest of them, and you won't get burnt - unless there is a pervasive bias in the plan. Then you'll have to make some adjustments up or down to take that into account. But for that vast number of things that aren't critical, simply freeze them. If you have a little bias in the plan, freeze them a little higher or lower as appropriate.

Now, what are we going to do with the items which have been identified as being critical? Give them a range and make an estimate of the probability that each item can be accomplished within the original plan, that is, for a cost item, the probability that it can be accomplished at a cost no greater than the originally estimated amount.

And how do we do that? The very best way is get everybody involved. Everyone who understands the criticals should be there contributing to the process - well almost everybody. The one exception for that is, if you have a person who has undue influence on the group, don't invite him. Don't invite him or her because it will taint your result, particularly if that person is the boss.

Let's do our own job and let's put down all of our rationale on why we think this range and probability are the way they are and now we can defend them more readily. We want to be prepared. We want to say, "This is the way it is."

The process here is not as time-consuming as you may believe. In many cases, good risk analyses can be performed in a matter of hours. In some cases, it may take a day or two. When you get beyond two days, there is probably something going wrong. You are trying to reinvent the world or something like that.

That's not to say there aren't cases where it will require a lengthy period of time to do a risk analysis. But in the normal course of events, that doesn't occur. We make the decision today. That's important. This is not some ivory tower theoretical thing. This is a thing you can do very readily. This should be a decision based upon the collective experience of our group of people who understand the variables.

If you ask a very inexperienced manager to range this critical element, you are going to get what? You are going to get a very big range. Lack of experience breeds excessive conservatism.

If you ask the estimator or quantity surveyor who came up with the figures, you are going to get a narrow range. It is human nature to defend your estimate. To agree to a wide range is akin to admitting failure.

If you recognize these human weaknesses and structure the ranges properly, this is what you will learn:

  • The probability of having a cost overrun;
  • How large the overrun can be (the exposure);
  • What to do now to:
  • capitalize on opportunities; and reduce risk;
  • How much contingency to add to our estimate to reduce the residual risk to an acceptable level.

There are some excellent pieces of software which you can use to perform risk analysis. Three of the best are REP/PC, @RISK, and Crystal Ball.

Of these, I personally prefer REP/PC for engineering and construction work. I have used it successfully on projects as high as $1 billion and even higher and with long construction schedules, some exceeding 10 years.

All three packages however are excellent if applied properly but there are limitations with all of them which must be considered.

However, failure to properly identify the critical variables, or to assume that some variables are critical when they are not, will yield an incorrect analysis and will understate risk. REP/PC has proprietary algorithms in the software to detect improperly identified critical variables. The other two pieces of software do not protect you against this. You must follow the rules outlined earlier for identifying the critical variables. The software itself will not do this job for you.

REP/PC requires the ranges and probabilities for the critical variables as the input. This program unfortunately is a DOS program and is not available in a Windows version. That however is not a serious limitation for versions of Windows up through Me which support DOS. Unfortunately Windows XP does not support DOS and it is rapidly becoming the most common computer operating system. For practical reasons, that means that any company desiring to use REP/PC must maintain at least one computer equipped with Windows Me or an earlier version of Windows.

@RISK and CRYSTAL BALL are fully Windows compatible and link directly to Excel or other spreadsheet software but do require that probability density functions be identified for each critical variable. This is generally not a problem, however, because of the fact that we are not dealing with rocket science. High precision is not required for the typical projects cost engineers and project managers work on. If the probability density functions are undefined (as will usually be the case), a simple triangular distribution can generally be safely assumed for each critical variable. This assumption is sufficiently accurate for cost work.

Risk analysis is not difficult to perform properly and the benefits in project planning are great if the analysis is properly done. However, if it is not done properly, the results can be disastrous as the analysis can severely understate risk and lead to unsatisfactory conclusions about project viability.


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Contractual changes, Control value and manage risks

Paper presented at the 2004 NORDNET, Helsinki, Finland, September 2004.

Annette Kavaleff, Katja Koskelain and Marjaana Kousa

1. Abstract

Changes during a project are more of a rule than an exception. This is why everyone involved in project business should realize the importance of change management. In the global contracting environment where emphasis is placed on minimizing costs and maximizing performance, poorly managed changes are hazardous.

Change management has to be considered already when planning and negotiating a contract. Proactive contracting will strengthen project performance and eliminate communication difficulties among contracting parties. For a project, it is crucial to carefully define the scope and the other key contractual provisions, which should include a workable dispute resolving mechanism before signing a contract.

Contractors and employers often rely on standard terms and conditions (STCs) to govern their relationship. No doubt, these are helpful instruments, but they should be used with awareness and care. When STCs constitute a part of a contract, it is essential for the contracting parties to truly understand how they allocate costs and risks between the parties and what requirements they set for variations and the communication of claims, notifications, etc.

In this paper, the variations clauses of two STCs, namely Orgalime turnkey General Conditions 2003 and FIDIC Silver Book for EPC/turnkey projects, are examined in respect of the following three questions: Who is entitled to initiate variations? When and how is the variation established? Who bears the costs for the variation? The STCs are evaluated from both the employer’s and the contractor’s point of view and their main differences are discussed. Not surprisingly, the Orgalime turn key conditions seem to be more contractor friendly and the FIDIC Silver Book more employer friendly. Neither of them, unfortunately, seems to provide sufficient detailed change control procedures. Contracting parties should take this into account and address change control issues upfront in their negotiations.

An outline of change control procedure and issues to be addressed are presented in the last chapter. The task of such procedures is to provide efficient tools to agree on changes before they occur and to keep the project on track and within budgetary limits.

2. Keywords

Change management, FIDIC, Orgalime turnkey, variations, changes, standard terms and conditions (STCs), proactive contracting, claim, scope, change control procedures

3. Introduction

In any project there are likely to be changes to the original plan during the course of the project. This is true also for turn key projects, which are used as examples in this paper. Over the time of project implementation, new issues evolve. When negotiating a contract change management is often overlooked by the dealmakers. The acknowledgement of the mere fact that changes and variations are likely to occur may be seen as a weakness in the contracting process. The members of project teams should, however, not be “blue eyed”: On one hand, there are contractors who see an opportunity in changes: charging for changes may improve your results from the project. Employers should be aware of this when negotiating contracts and change clauses. On the other hand there are employers who take an uttermost restrictive view on changes and who will reserve the right to say the final word on a proposed change.

In contractual vocabulary, change is a wide concept. Usually thereby is meant changes to the contract for both external and project internal causes. Herein we use change for claims, variations etc. which lead to a change of the contract. By variations, we mean variation to the scope of works i.e. usually changes that arise during the course of the project from project internal reasons.

The parties may during the implementation of a contract have claims on each other. Claims may arise for a number of reasons e.g.: unforeseen conditions, acts by the authorities, variations, unsuccessful remedial work, delays, suspension, delayed payment, tests, insurances, force majeure, indemnities, termination etc. A claim may result in a change to the contract – but whether and how the claim impacts on the contract will depend on the content of the contract. In chapter 4, we stress the importance of proactive contracting in order to minimise changes and risks generally.

In chapter 5 below we focus on some key issues in relation to variations by giving some illustrative examples of change management clauses based on the FIDIC (the International Federation of Consulting Engineers) Silver Book and Orgalime turnkey General Conditions 2003 for EPC/turnkey projects.

Need of variations and project changes may arise as a consequence of poor initial planning, design errors, technical innovation, modernisation, emerging of new products, changed plans by the employer etc. Often variations creep into the scope and surface at a stage when the cost and time impact already is big. Variations may have been poorly dealt with in the contract or left to project management procedures to be established during the course of the project. In the absence of change procedures and when a variation later turns visible, project managers on both sides start reading the technical requirements, the scope, the functional requirements, which may have diverging contents at different priority levels of the contract (like the request for bid, the bid, other contractual appendices). It may emerge at such later time that the parties have a different perception of the intended end result of the project or delivery. The task to converge the parties’ opinions at this stage may be burdensome and collapse the project as has happened for example in many IT projects.

Change control procedures are discussed in chapter 6 below. Bearing in mind the impact on project costs, schedule and quality of results both parties will benefit from a carefully considered procedure for changes, which is documented and agreed in advance. Change control processes must be established before work starts. When changes start to creep into the scope, it may be too late. The process should, however, not encourage changes unduly. A change is always an exception and must be justified. Bureaucracy should be avoided and small changes with little impact should be dealt with at working level. As in all business, activity focus must be on issues, which are material for the result or bottom line. It is worthwhile investing some time in agreeing on good change management procedure since it may cost more to have a bad one. If this approach is taken, resources will be freed for the main task for project teams on both sides, which are the implementation of the project and the creation of value to the parties.

4. Minimise changes by contracting with care and foresight

Management of changes starts with drafting and negotiating the contract with care and foresight. It is crucial to know how the commercial heart of the contract and what rules governs it. It is not enough to pay attention only to the change control clause, since the basis for its application is some heavy contractual stuff allocating the business value and the risks. As highlighted in the introduction claims may arise for numerous reasons like delays, defects, omissions etc. It is important that those reasons are foreseen as far as possible and that the consequences are dealt with in the contract in order to minimise costs and conflicts. There will be surprises anyway and the resources should be spared to tackle those. The role of the lawyer is to be a member of the project team from the very beginning, because only then he or she can focus on proactive contracting and avoid disputes.

When looking at the causes for claims and variations it is advisable to start with the scope of the works. The scope must be carefully and clearly defined. As an employer, you must check that the bid responds to your bid request. As a contractor, you must make sure your changes to the scope proposed in your bid will be part of the contract. Both parties have a task to avoid contradictions or misunderstandings. Make sure your lawyer is familiar with the scope since it is the basis of the remedies clauses etc.

The negotiators and project team members must be aware what the price is supposed to include/cover and how it is structured. The general assumption is that the price agreed shall cover the scope described in the contract, unless otherwise agreed. Is the price defined as a lump sum or based on unit prices, or both? If the scope is defined in detail, missing details may lead to changes and have impact on the price. If the scope is defined functionally, by end results, there may be less risk for changes of the price. The contractual change mechanism is often placed in connection with the price clause providing unit prices etc. as a basis for changes to be agreed on.

Scope and price are essential, but you should not yet give up and leave the rest to your lawyer alone. There are many more clauses having a substantial impact on your business results. The contract is not only a legal document to be put in an archive after signing, but it shall also provide the guidelines for the project work and management in order to minimise conflicts.

For example, the documentation may enable the employer to apply for permits required by the authorities and to operate the delivery. Incomplete or faulty documentation can have a major impact on the results and delay the project. Claims and changes relating to the documentation must be foreseen and dealt with. The intellectual property rights to both the delivery and the documentation will have impact on how the results can be used (for example right to amend standard documentation in order to obtain permits).

Time is money and the delivery should happen on time. The delivery may be delayed for different reasons: contractor is delayed, contractor’s subcontractor is delayed, employer is delayed, force majeure, ground conditions, delays by the authorities (which may initially be caused by either of the parties) etc. These delays will have to be dealt with in the contract in different ways depending on the risk division agreed by the parties. Usually a party will have to bear the risks and costs of delays on his side. Attention must be paid to careful definition of the causes of delays and their consequences.

The delivery shall be tested against agreed criteria and be repaired or replaced should the criteria not be met. Passing of tests is usually a precondition for taking over the delivery. It is important for both parties to establish a procedure for how the test criteria shall be met. The payment schedule usually ties in with the progress of the delivery and a clear definition of the take over conditions is essential for both parties.

The remedies clauses must not be forgotten either. Consequences of delays, liquidated damages for failed performance, obligation to remedy and repair belong to this group of issues. Furthermore, if the project totally fails, the rejection and termination may come into the picture. The legal system to which the contract in question belongs must not be forgotten either since claims may arise on tort basis. For large projects the remedies provided by the law in the Nordic countries in case of termination are difficult: the performance on both sides should go back (it may be easy to give back monies, but how about a factory installed at a piece of land?). This is why there must be detailed provisions how to valuate the delivery and compensate the suffering party should the worst thing happen.

In contractual words, pay attention to clauses like Documentation, Intellectual Property Rights, Reporting, Schedule, Delays, Testing, Take Over, Guarantees, Indemnities, Liabilities, Insurances, Rejection, Termination etc. These clauses may give rise to claims and they are all linked with the scope, the price and the change or variations clauses.

5. Variations - Some key issues and how they are resolved in standard terms and conditions

Contractors and employers often rely on STCs to govern their relationship. No doubt these are helpful instruments, but they should be used with awareness and care. When STCs constitute a part of a contract, it is essential for the contracting parties to truly understand how the conditions allocate risks between the parties. The party is able to minimize his own risks and estimate properly the value of the contract only after he has identified the risks which he is about to agree to bear. This is especially true when the allocation of risks is not in equilibrium but rather one of the parties is to bear most of the risk.

FIDIC (the International Federation of Independent Consulting Engineers) Conditions of Contract for EPC/Turnkey Projects also known as the Silver Book contains, in addition to clauses governing the claims of the Contractor resp. Employer, a contract clause on variations (Clause 13 Variations and Adjustments). Orgalime (Liaison group of the European mechanical; electrical; electronic and metalworking industries) Turnkey Contract for Industrial Works consists of three integrated parts, the main Contract Document, the General Conditions and the Checklist. The General Conditions which contain a clause for variations (Clause 8 Variations).

For more information on these two above mentioned organizations see websites: www.fidic.org and www.orgalime.org.

The following issues highlight a just a few aspects of these standard conditions on variations, which should be taken into consideration by the parties:

Issue 1: Who is entitled to initiate variations?

FIDIC Silver Book Orgalime Turn Key

Clause 13.1(1)
The Employer at any time prior to issuing the Taking-Over Certificate by instructing a variation or by requesting for a proposal from the Contractor.

Clause 13.2(1)
The Contractor, at any time, by submitting to the Employer a written proposal which (in the Contractor’s opinion) will, if adopted, (i) accelerate completion, (ii) reduce the cost to the Employer of executing, maintaining or operative the Works, (iii) improve the efficiency or value to the Employer of the completed Works, or (iv) otherwise be of benefit to the Employer. The procedure is generally called Value Engineering.

Clause 13.3(2)
The Contractor shall not delay any work whilst awaiting a response.

Comment: The Contractor may not execute the proposed variation, whether as a response to the Employer’s request or out of its own initiative, without the Employer’s instruction or approval. The Contractor shall carry out the work as normal until instructed otherwise by the Employer

Clause 8.2
The Contractor by informing the Purchaser of possible variations which the Contractor considers to be in the interest of the Purchaser or any changes occurring in standards and norms, (which, according to the Contract, shall be observed in the performance of the Works).

Clause 8.4
The Purchaser by giving a notice to the Contractor of his request. Note that the notice has to contain detailed description of the variation required and that the required variations need to be in the agreed scope, design or manner of execution of the works (ref. to clause 8.1 and later in connection with issue 2.)

Comment: The Contractor may not as a general rule execute a variation prior to agreement. There is no mention that the Contractor shall continue the works as agreed until the variation has been determined. The parties should take this into consideration when agreeing on variations under these provisions.

Difference: It is clear under both standard conditions that the Employer/Purchaser has a general right to instruct or propose variations for whatever reasons, whereas the Contractor’s right is qualified by the interest of the Employer/Purchaser. The rights of the Employer are stronger under FIDIC Silver Book since the variation has to be executed by the Contractor on the mere instruction by the Employer. Under Orgalime Turn Key the risk that the works stops after a variation proposal should be taken into account. The value engineering under both standard conditions is in the control of the Contractor since it is restricted to his opinion on the matter.

Issue 2: When and how is the variation established?

FIDIC Silver Book Orgalime Turn Key

Clause 13.1(2)
The Contractor is obligated to execute and is bound by the variations instructed by the Employer unless he promptly gives notice with supporting particulars. The grounds on which the Contractor may refuse from executing the variation are limited: the Contractor cannot readily obtain the Goods required for the Variation, it will reduce the safety or suitability of the Works, or it will have an adverse impact on the achievement of the Performance Guarantees. Upon receiving this notice, the Employer shall cancel, confirm or vary the instruction.

Clause 13.3(1)
If the Employer requests a proposal, the Contractor shall respond in writing either by giving reasons why he cannot comply or by submitting a detailed proposal.

Clause 13.3 (2)
The Employer shall as soon as practicable after receiving such proposal, respond with approval, disapproval or comments. The Contractor shall not delay any work whilst awaiting a response.

Clause 13.3 (4), clause 3.5
Upon instructing or approving a variation, the Employer shall proceed in accordance with Sub-Clause 3.5 to agree or determine adjustments to the Contract Price and the Schedule of Payments. These adjustments shall include reasonable profit, and shall take account of the Contractor’s submissions concerning value engineering.

Clause 3.5 provides for the Employer’s determination, which shall be fair and in accordance with the Contract. Each party shall give effect to the determination, unless the Contractor gives notice, to the Employer of his dissatisfaction with a determination within 14 days of receiving it. Either party may then refer the dispute to the Dispute Adjudication Board.

Comment: It is important to notice that, notwithstanding the notice given by the Contractor, the Employer may confirm his instructions and the Contractor is to execute the variation and remains with the only possibility of referring the matter to the Dispute Adjudication Board (DAB) or ultimately to Arbitration

Clauses 8.1 (1st and 2nd para)
The Contractor is obligated to carry out variations required by the Purchaser that are in the agreed scope, design or manner of execution of the works, but he is not obligated to carry out variations of an extent or character which he could not reasonably have foreseen when entering into the Contract.

Clause 8.1 (para)
The Contractor is also obligated to carry out variation, which becomes necessary due to changes in Laws and Regulations.

Clause 8.3
In case of variations the Contract Price, the Time for Completion and other terms of the Contract shall be amended to reasonably reflect the consequences of the variation.

Clause 8.9
The Contractor shall not be obliged or entitled to carry out a variation before the parties have reached written agreement on how it shall be carried out and its consequences, or the matter has been settled by the Expert.

Comment: Purchasers should be aware that the Contractor has a wide opportunity to refuse to perform variations initiated by the Purchaser (other than those required by law or regulation) if they do not happen to be foreseen. Also the notice and agreement system favours the Contractor.

Differences: The Contractor is obligated under FIDIC Silver Book to act on Employer’s instruction, whereas Orgalime Turn Key requires agreement of both parties or expert resolution to implement a variation. This is an important difference. Under FIDIC Silver Book the Contractor is very exposed to the Employer’s decision making and may have to wait to achieve justice, but under Orgalime Turn Key again there may be long delay to the project which may cost more than the dispute in question. Orgalime Turn Key also enables the Contractor to refuse variations not foreseen. In a long project, the need for a variation may not be foreseen.

Issue 3: Who bears the costs for the variation?

FIDIC Silver Book Orgalime Turn Key

Costs due to preparation of variations:
Clause 13.2(2)
The Contractor-initiated proposals are prepared on the Contractor’s cost. Neither is the Contractor entitled to any payment for responding to a request. The Employer prepares his instructions constituting a variation on his own cost.

Comment: Uncertainty arises when the Contractor submits a proposal on request and the variation is not executed. The Silver Book does not answer this question. Therefore, it is recommendable that the parties agree on the matter pretender, especially when detailed and expensive design is involved.

Costs/benefits due to variations:
Clause 13.3 (4), clause 3.5
If agreement have not been reached following the Contractor’s proposal etc. he Employer shall proceed in accordance with Sub-Clause 3.5 to agree or determine adjustments to the Contract Price and the Schedule of Payments. These adjustments shall include reasonable profit, and shall take account of the Contractor’s submissions concerning value engineering.

The Employer is in his determination, that is guided by Clauses: 13.4-13.8., which among other things deal with:

  • Payment in applicable currencies and adjustment therefore;
  • Adjustment for changes in legislation; and
  • Adjustment for changes in cost.

Comment: The Silver Book gives some steering how variations are to be valued. According to the variation procedure, the Employer agrees or determines the value of variations by adjustments to the contract price. According to the sub-clauses, these adjustments shall include reasonable profit (except in case of change in laws). The estimation of what is reasonable is left to the discretion of the Employer, or ultimately to the Dispute Adjudication Board or Arbitrator. It is recommendable to agree on provisions concerning compensation on delay and disruptions caused by variations.

According to clause 13.3 the Employer has to take the value engineering into account in his determination, but there are no guidelines on how this should happen. The Contractor shall therefore consider agreeing on the matter before signing the Contract.

Costs due to preparation of variations:
Clause 8.6:
The Purchaser is obligated to reimburse the Contractor any costs incurred in examining the consequences of a variation requested by the Purchaser.

Comment: It should be noted that there is no mention who pays the costs if the Contractor suggests variation in these General Conditions.

Costs/benefits due to variations:
Clauses 8.3
In case of variations the Contract Price, the Time for Completion and other terms of the Contract shall be amended to reasonably reflect the consequences of the variation.

Clause 8.5
The Contractor shall, without undue delay after he has received the Purchaser’s request notify the Purchaser whether it is possible to carry out the variation and, if so, specify the manner of execution and the effects of the variation on the Contract Price, the Main Time Schedule and other terms of the Contract.

Comment: The conditions give no steer as to the valuation of the effect of the variation on the Contract Price. The conditions do not contain exact regulation on how benefits of the variations are defined. In case the contracting parties fail to agree on the variation or on the resulting amendments of the terms and conditions of the contract, the dispute may be settled by an independent expert who decides on the terms. Therefore, the parties should agree on guidelines for the valuation, for example the price effect (unit prices, direct costs etc.).

Difference 1: Under FIDIC Silver Book, the Contractor bears the costs of preparation in case of Value Engineering, whereas under Orgalime the Purchaser bears the costs if he proposes a variation. Both conditions leave room for interpretation and scope for more specific agreement, but in different matters.

Difference 2: FIDIC Silver Book gives some steering on the cost division which implies a faster resolution period if agreement cannot be reached than under Orgalime. Project management requires, however, in most cases more detailed guidelines and steering on cost/benefit division, especially in cases where variations are likely.

As is clear from this limited comparison, the process and cost/benefit sharing differ depending on the STCs we have chosen and negotiated. The examples show that the employer under FIDIC Silver Book is in control of the change process, whereas the employer under Orgalime Turn Key has less power to initiate and implement a variation.

The above comparison does not comprise all clauses relating to changes or variations of these STCs, but a more thorough examination shows that the change and variations clauses may not provide sufficient tools to manage changes as part of normal project management. This fact should be considered prior to signing the contract and a procedure be established as part of the contract documentation.

6. Change control procedure as part of project and contract management

Change control is an essential part of contract management and it should at least:

  • facilitate the building of trust between the parties;
  • help to avoid hidden or tacit changes like scope creep etc.;
  • provide workable tools to agree on unavoidable and/ or useful changes before they are made;
  • provide means to analyse the quality impact of proposed changes and
  • assist in keeping the project on the track within budgetary limits.

As a minimum, a contract provides that changes are only valid if agreed upon by the parties. This is clear since in most jurisdictions a contract shall be implemented as it is written and a change would not automatically be accepted. It is, however, necessary to state that changes must be agreed in writing. The grey area often a cause for disputes is changes originating from insufficiently defined contractual clauses like scope, price etc. The example procedure shown below may seem detailed and burdensome, but the mission is to catch the issues upfront, in advance and have the rules clear when the project starts. If project managers only have to apply the rules, not to invent them, they are freed from the tensions relating to negotiations and conflicts.

A workable change control mechanism should address at least the following questions:

  1. No change work is to be performed without a properly executed change order according to the procedure set out in the contract. Such a provision is needed in order to avoid scope creep and surprises.
  2. Who has the right to instruct/propose changes? Is it only the customer or both the customer and the contractor? Are the reasons qualifying the right to propose specified? Should the contractor have an obligation to propose improvements to the project? The answer to these questions will depend on the project in question: is it a turnkey project based on proven design or an IT delivery to be developed during the project?
  3. Format of and requirements on the change proposal. Will the change proposals be submitted through a computerised change management system or will they have to be physically signed and submitted to the other party? Does it have a standard content etc.?
  4. Procedure to agree on minor changes. Small issues do not belong to a complicated change management procedure, but they should have their own easy procedure. Project managers of the parties should agree on minor changes and keep records (For example: update in a computerised change management system).
  5. Costs of change proposal or response preparation work. The usual division of costs here is that each party bears his own costs, unless the other party by faulty performance or omission has caused the change proposal.
  6. Details on the cost, timetable and other impact of the change on the project. Costs increases or reductions are easier to agree on if they are derived from agreed criteria, e.g. time based costs, agreed overheads. Extensions of the timetable and other impacts of the change may be more difficult to agree in advance, but the contractor should present his justified estimate of such impact for the customer’s approval.
  7. How is the decision on the change made? From a project point of view, leaving costs and other impact aside, it is usually crucial that the decision can be made without any undue delays. This may in practise mean that the customer should have a right to instruct works to go ahead pending agreement or resolution. Such a provision may, however, in practise limit the contractor’s possibilities to impact on the change in question.
    Customer’s approval -> Acceptance, contract change order becomes an integral part of the Contract.
    Customer’s rejection -> Delivery to be continued as originally agreed or dispute resolution
  8. The procedure should also give a steer on the Contractor’s obligation to perform according to original contract until change order agreed, unless otherwise instructed. There may be disagreement between the parties whether the proposed change is included in the scope of the contract or not and finally that may have to be left to dispute resolution. The customer should, however, have the right to give instructions on a requested/proposed change prior to agreement/resolution irrespectively of whether the change is included in the original scope or is a justified change. If the employer later turns out to be wrong, he may have to compensate the contractor for unnecessary work.
  9. How are records kept on the changes? Records should be kept both on minor and changes requiring more substantial approval procedure. Project managers or assistants of both parties should be authorised to update and check the records.
  10. Notices – agree on requirement on notices: format (electronic or physical), time limits etc. as part of the change management procedure.
  11. A workable dispute resolution mechanism. There are various models for dispute resolution. Change management would generally benefit from a technical/economical and non-legal dispute resolution mechanism. The engineer institute in the Anglo-American contracting is instrumental in change management. The engineer is, however, not truly impartial and a dispute resolution mechanism is needed also in the cases where an engineer has been named by the customer. There is the Dispute Adjudication Board (DAB) under the FIDIC conditions and the ADR (Amicable Dispute Resolution) rules by ICC just to mention a couple of procedures. Nothing, however, prevents the parties from agreeing on a local procedure and naming the persons who shall act as adjudicators in advance.
  12. Last but not least, do not forget to inform and train the project team in the change control procedure. This is essential especially in cases where the negotiation team is not continuing as the project team.
  13. Note that the comments to the above list do not reflect the content of any particular STCs, but are merely based on experience from cases worked on. Careful attention should always be paid to standard clauses and change practises should be determined by the parties in the context of the project in question.

The above issues have been summarised in the following picture:

Bio Summaries:

Author: Anette Kavaleff
Affiliation: Oy Kavaleff Consulting Ab, main shareholder
Degrees: Licentiate in Laws 1985, University of Helsinki (Master of Laws 1979), Trained on the Bench
Professional activities: Energy law and projects, commercial law generally and contract law especially
Societies: Finnish Federation of Lawyers, International Bar Association, Section for Energy and Natural Resources, International Nuclear Law Association (INLA), Project Management Association Finland, International Association of Contract and Commercial Managers (IACCM)
Contact information:
anette.kavaleff@kavaleff.fi

Co-author: Marjaana Kousa
Degrees: Master of Laws with court training 2001, Master of Laws 30.10.1998, University of Helsinki
Professional activities: International and domestic commercial law, preventive and proactive law
Societies: Finnish Federation of Lawyers, Project Management Association Finland, International Association of Contract and Commercial Managers (IACCM)

Co-author: Katja Koskelainen Degrees: Master of Laws 2003; Vocational Qualification in Business and Administration, Finance and Risk Management Professional activities: International contract law; Construction contracting


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Needs Four-Level-Certification, the Four-Level-Qualification?

Klaus Pannenbäcker

Abstract

The Four-Level-Certification (4-L-C) of IPMA is today in more than 30 Countries introduced. The Member Associations are responsible to run this Career System of project management personal. Most of the interested experts are experienced and successful project managers, but they are not able to explain “why”. It would be unfair, to enter into a certification process without any “refreshment” in basic knowledge. But this preparation should follow the level specific requirements of the four career levels. Due to this demand a Four-Level-Qualification (4-L-Q) is in the final development phase and should be presented to the distinguished audience during the 3rd SENET Conference.

Keywords: 4-L-C Programme, PM Qualification, PM Training

Introduction

It is recognised, that Project Management is an additional profession to be successful in a basic profession.Examples:

  • The engineer should be able to organise his and his team members` work, otherwise he is not profitable.
  • The programmer can not adapt and implement a new program for his client without organising and controlling his own and his team members` job.

Each project responsible person is therefore a leader, manager, controller, crisis manager. The more complex the project is, the more project management competencies are required.

This is the background for a career path, finally for the IPMA 4-Level-Certification Programme (4-L-C). IPMA developed this system and the IPMA National Associations are the local organiser. In about 28 of nearly 40 countries worldwide a growing number of project management responsibles in all four 4 Levels are certificated every year. Details are published in the IPMA Yearbook.

Most of the certificants asked before starting their certification process: “How and where can I prepare myself for my certification?”---

The GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement (in short GPM) therefore started the development of a

Four - Level - Qualification - Programme (4-L-Q),

in order to fulfil this market requirement. This combined system follows the rules of EN 17024, the updated EN 45013. Generally and clearly explained

The Trainer is never the Assessor.

Due to this requirement IPMA recommended to its National Associations (NA) to set up the training activities as a division of the NA and to cerate an independent body for the certification objectives and processes. 1. Four – Level – Certification (4-L-C)

The well known figure is this pyramid. The higher the level, the smaller is the number of certificated individuals. This is the traditional hierarchy in each organisation. And it is also very traditionally that these levels can only be reached as career path with extraordinary competences.

The figure also shows, the higher the level that greater are the Competences = Knowledge + Experience + Personality

The IPMA Regulations and Guidelines (ICRG) explain compulsory the contents and processes of the whole certification system. Due to the fact that each NA follows this ICRG and IPMA checks latest after the 4th year of starting the certification in its country, each National Association can assure international recognition of its certificated project management personal.

2. Four – Level – Qualification (4-L-Q)

The keyword “Qualification” does not mean in this connection to have reached a specific capability of doing something properly, in this sense is Qualification = Education + Training + Coaching

The figure shows in red colour from the bottom to the top the number as well as the type of qualification hours, the certificant needs for a successful certification. It seems to be logical that:

  • Education increases the Knowledge;
  • Training improves the Experience;
  • Transfer assists the Personal Attitude.
11. International Competence Baseline (ICB)

The International Competence Baseline (ICB) defines the objectives of project management in practise. Therefore this document is and must be the same baseline for the:

  • Assessor to certificate; and
  • Trainer to train.

The gap between the blue and the red “world” will explain that each certificant can enter into the 4-L-C, without any previous conditions. The “bridge” between blue and red is the self assessment at the end of a qualification and at the beginning of the certification. Due to this requirement the new ICB includes the taxonomy of each PM element: exemplary cases describe the number of points to be given.

Summary

This combined “Q + C – System” of IPMA is able to start with a new generation of Qualifying and Certifying.

Using these two keywords we as member of IPMA through our National Association recognise that Project management as professional discipline is not so well accepted, because we have no common “language”.

Our “clients”, the individuals and their organisations, expect from us more clarification as well as global acceptance in wording and in processes.

The certification with four levels is on its best way to become worldwide recognition. Here we have to thank IPMA and the Assessors.

Now we have to increase our competences in an adequate Four - Level - Qualification Programme is a programme of:

  • Training material for education, training and coaching
  • Train and certificate the Trainer
  • Train and accreditate the Assessor

GABO Anlagentechnik und Prozessmanagement GmbH,
Haselhofstrasse 29, D -91058 Erlangen/Germany
gabo.pm@gabo-atpm.de


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Coming Events

AACE International 49th Annual Meeting

26 - 29 June 2005, New Orleans, LA, USA


Join AACE International in New Orleans, LA and expand your professional skills at the 49th Annual Meeting – June 26-29, 2005. AACE 2004 will challenge you to better manage, plan, schedule, and implement technology on your projects for more effective and efficient business operations.

New Orleans is a little bit of Europe & the Caribbean in the American South, where the history is as colorful as the local architecture & the food is the stuff of legend. Plan now to bring your family to explore all that this city has to offer.

Take a ride on a street car, visit the world-renowned D-Day Museum, tour the historic Garden District, take a stroll through the French Quarter and Jackson Square, enjoy cajun or creole cuisine, experience the sites and sounds of the birthplace of jazz -- it’s all waiting for you in New Orleans.

AACE's Annual Meeting Technical Program is a great way to add to your perspective and to provide ideas of how others are handling modern cost management projects using the latest techniques. A unique collection of new technical presentations about real world projects and problem solving will be presented by over 100 authors. Multiple meeting room tracks give participants many concurrent options to choose from which show leading edge technology in action. Participants will be able to download papers once they register that will enable you to design the best program for your needs.

The Technical Program tracks will also feature a "Skills & Knowledge" track which is great for those who are new to the profession. These mini seminars will survey the scope of modern cost engineering and are also very useful for those who specialize in only one area, and who want to refresh their skills in other areas. Plus there will be a track on the latest software being used called the "Software Showcase" that will give users the chance to see what's new from key industry suppliers. The remaining tracks will feature papers on all aspects of cost estimating, project controls, planning and scheduling, project management, decision and risk management, cost engineering, global projects and many other topics relevant to today's professional.

The Annual Meeting Continuing Education Seminars are an excellent way to enhance your professional knowledge and growth.

As you are well aware, in today's recovering economic times, training budgets have been slashed and people's work commitments are such that non-billable time is hard to justify. One may simply think that 'There is no way to sell such an expenditure at this time!' AACE International’s Jim Zack (Vice President-Technical/Education/Certification) believes the opposite is the case. Zack implores you to consider his following points:

  • Professional cost engineering training has been removed from budgets so long that the new generation of cost professionals needs to be taught the cost and schedule management skills necessary to become a key asset to their organization. AACE has a comprehensive package of professional seminars with instructors who have on average have more than 25 years of hands-on experience and expertise;
  • AACE's seminar program is an exceptionally cost effective resource for companies needing employees with a fresh perspective and expertise across a broad range of cost engineering subjects;
  • There is always room in a company's budget for training when it returns value. The key is to get management buy-in to the need for professional training within the normal budgeting cycle. This makes the training request an integral part of the budget and is not seen as a last minute, special request requiring budget shifts and special permission;
  • Continual training brings big rewards to employers and employees. A well trained professional does their job better, is more productive and knows best how to manage cost and schedule to the advantage projects and their company. Likewise, employees have better feelings for themselves and their company. AACE's cost engineering training promotes a well run organization with quality employee; and
  • Finally, ask yourself the following: 'What if we train them and they leave?' The correct question is: 'What if we don't and they stay!!!!'

AACE’s Annual Meeting Continuing Education Seminars cover a wide-range of topics for all levels of cost and management professionals. The seminar schedule includes the following:

W1 Certification Review Course & Examination

Improve your performance on the CCC/CCE examination by taking this course. Prior to your arrival, you should be fairly well prepared to sit for the examination. If you are taking this course, you should have read and worked some problems in Skills & Knowledge of Cost Engineering, 5th edition and Certification Study Guide, 2nd edition, to become relatively comfortable with their contents. You should also review college algebra (logarithms and exponents), business or engineering statistics, and engineering economy or finance. Each day’s 5.5-hour presentation covers subjects that are tested on the 2-hour CCC/CCE exam part given later that day. This allows you to focus on those particular subjects, be tested on your skills and knowledge of those limited subjects, and then move successively to other topics on later days. As soon as your registration is received and approved, you will be sent a copy of Skills & Knowledge of Cost Engineering, 5th edition and Certification Exam Study Guide, 2nd edition. If you already own either or both of these publications, let Headquarters know and the cost of the publications will be deducted from the registration fee. Instructor: Dr. Randy R. Rapp, PE CCE. 24 PDHs or 2.4 CEUs

W2 Planning & Scheduling Review

This course will help you review the principles and concepts of planning and scheduling in order to help you prepare for the Planning and Scheduling Professional (PSP) certification examination. Since the PSP was initiated in June 2004, we have frequently been asked questions relating to the level of experience and knowledge the PSP measures. While the PSP is designed to demonstrate that one is qualified to plan and schedule a project or endeavor using the equivalent of 8 years experience. It is not meant to be a measure of one’s ability to use a particular software tool, but rather the concepts of planning and scheduling that software helps by automating. Nor is the PSP designed to measure one’s ability to meet a particular company or organization’s standard practices. This course will not teach you the PSP examination, but the course will help you to prepare for it. Instructors: Donald F. McDonald, Jr. PE CCE PSP; Michael R. Nosbisch, CCC PSP. 14 PDHs or 1.4 CEUs

U1 Range Estimating

Range Estimating picks up where traditional estimating leaves off. This intensive one-day seminar is designed for engineers and managers who regularly face decisions involving multiple and diverse quantitative uncertainties such as those found in budget/conceptual/detailed cost and profit estimating, contingency analysis, competitive bidding, project control, and annual profit planning and who are users of Decision Sciences Corporation’s Range Estimating Program for personal computers (REP/PC). This seminar is a solid introduction to the theory and practical application of the Range Estimating methodology. In addition to learning the language of Range Estimating, you will learn where and when to use it, how to capitalize on its advantages, and how to correctly apply it over a broad spectrum of decision making problems. Instructor: Michael W. Curran. 14 PDHs or 1.4 CEUs

S1 Managing Scheduling Acceleration

Are you faced with schedule acceleration – every contractor’s worst nightmare? Schedule acceleration costs money, lots of it, depletes cash reserves, disrupts normal operations, attracts a disproportionate amount of attention, causes individual stress, and destroys any semblance of a team approach. In some instances it forces companies into bankruptcy. Different management approaches, other than normal ones, are needed. What information may be available is scattered and fragmented. A systems view is not adopted. This void is addressed in part by this course. Instructor: Dr. H. Randolph Thomas. 8 PDHs or .8 CEUs

S2 Process Technology for Cost Engineering

Eighty percent of the cost of a process facility is committed by design decisions by process engineers, made in the conceptual phase. Large savings can - and will - be achieved when cost engineers are involved in process design at the earliest opportunity. It is of vital importance, however, that these cost engineers have a basic understanding of process technology, and develop a feeling for the motives and limitations of process engineers. This is a two-day course designed to teach the basic concepts and the language of process technology. Instructor: Dr. Martin S. A. Vrijland. 14 PDHs or 1.4 CEUs

S3 Complete Skills of Estimating, Cost Control and Scheduling

This new, important course, listing the top 20 cost control skills, has been developed and it allows you to measure their skills against this "base". This course provides an international body of knowledge for you to become more effective and successful as senior project cost professionals, possessing the latest skills & knowledge in the global workplace. The focus is on essential and advanced application skills that directly relate to all phases of a project, at both owner and contractor levels. When properly utilized, these skills and techniques can directly lead to cost savings or, at the very least, to risk mitigation, schedule stability and cost containment. Instructor: James A. Bent, ECCC. 14 PDHs or 1.4 CEUs

S4 Project Planning Techniques

Instructor: Dr. Parviz F. Rad, PE CCE

T1 Construction Claims 101

This two-day course is designed to take you through the basics of construction claims. You will learn the ten types of claims routinely available to a contractor in a typical North American contract. You will be taught the elements of proof needed for entitlement and cost recovery. You will also be provided a checklist of items necessary to document entitlement, causation and damages for each type of claim. The course also covers damages, analysis and resolution techniques and ends with a case study of an actual claim for a brief analysis by the participants. The course is designed to leave you with a good understanding of the need to manage project change and you should be better prepared to deal with claims situations when they arise. Instructor: James G. Zack, Jr. 16 PDHs or 1.6 CEUs

T2 Estimating A to Z (for the Process Industries)

Are you an estimating novice? Do you fully understand the differences between the contractor vs. owner points of view and issues? Do you ever need help in understanding the estimating problems of mega-projects? If you said yes to any of these questions, this is the course for you! This course is designed to provide comprehensive coverage of the fundamentals of estimating for the process industries, this seminar will cover many subtle and advanced estimating concepts as well. An emphasis will also be placed on examining the conceptual estimating methodologies that can assist in preparing accurate estimates at early design stages of a process industry project. Instructor: Larry R. Dysert, CCC. 16 PDHs or 1.6 CEUs

T3 Implementing Value Improvement Strategies…”The Easy Way”

The course will provide an introduction to the value improvement process, provide instruction on performing value improvement studies, and training for conducting own studies. While learning the value improvement job plan you will apply the knowledge to a “Live VE Lite” project. It is recommended that you bring your laptop with Excel, Word, Visio and PowerPoint, small project with cost estimate. You will perform the value improvements on your own project and take results back to your company for continued value improvement reference and applications. Instructor: Del L. Younker, CCC. 16 PDHs or 1.6 CEUs

T4 Creative Approaches for Estimating, Tracking & Projecting Project Cost

This course will help bring your into the real world of project management cost estimating/tracking. You will participate in creating realistic cost estimates for project management through course exercises. Other exercises will deal with using the cost plan for managing the project. Concepts and automated tools will be reviewed and a learning assessment exam will be given. Instructor: Lee R. Lambert. 14 PDHs or 1.4 CEUs

T5 Business Success Through Excellence in Project Management and TCM

Industry benchmarking has shown that the difference in cost and schedule between best and worst projects can be as much as 30% and the total cost of ownership over the life of the asset can be astronomical. In today’s competitive business environment, this can mean a difference between a profitable company versus the one that becomes a takeover target. This course will address the management of limited and scarce capital resources for consistent Pacesetter Project Performance. Value Improving and Best Practices which help to optimize cost, schedule, performance and safety aspects of any project will also be presented. Practical workshops and interactive discussions are vital elements of the course. Participants will be assigned to teams and will work on real life case studies. Instructor: Dr. Nick J. Lavingia, PE. 16 PDHs or 1.6 CEUs

T6 Planning & Scheduling Basic to Advanced

This course is a thorough presentation of the principles used in planning and scheduling, which results in effective management of projects in order to remain competitive and successful in today’s economy. The first portion of the course is intended as a refresher course if you do not engage in these practices full-time or as an introduction if you have little or no background in the subject. The second portion of the course moves from schedule development into schedule usage as a management tool. This session presents intensive training of intermediate and advanced schedule techniques including earned value, schedule and cost performance indices for managing projects, the differences between status, progress, and performance measurement, calculations, and reporting will be explained. You will also be exposed to cost and time relationships for evaluations of crashing or stretching work plans and the use of schedules in a multiple project environment. Instructors: Anthony J. Werderitsch, PE CCE; James E. Krebs, PE CCE. 15 PDHs or 1.5 CEUs

Find the most up-to-date information on AACE’s Annual Meeting and register online at www.aacei.org/annualmeeting

Headquarters Hotel: Sheraton New Orleans
Reservations: (504) 525-2500
Website: www.sheratonneworleans.com

Just tell the reservation agent you are with AACE Annual Meeting to get our special rates; our room block ends on Friday, June 3, 2005.

EVP – Earned Value Professional Certification

AACE International’s newest certification program is designed to recognize the Earned Value Professional. This certification program offers specialty credentials for the professional who wants to validate his/her skills.

While many professionals do planning and scheduling, until now there was no way to effectively measure their capabilities – except through real-life performance. AACE’s new EVP certification provides an exam and experience validation that lets industry and users identify those who are competent professionals.

Show your mark of distinction by earning the EVP

AACE is pleased to announce that the first EVP exam will be held on Saturday, June 25, 2005, at the 49th Annual Meeting at the Sheraton New Orleans Hotel.

What is the EVP?

Developed by a distinguished task force of industry experts assembled by AACE International, the EVP designation recognizes specialists who meet a demanding set of earned value criteria – a rigorous examination, experience, education and ethical requirements. The task force established the EVP requirements to reflect the sophistication of individuals in today’s industry and to fairly measure their knowledge, experience and best management practices.

EVP certification will distinguish you as an Earned Value Professional who has the knowledge and skills that impact the bottom line. With AACE Certification, you can be sure that you have met a high quality standard.

AACE has considerable experience in offering specialty certification programs. AACE has been testing for Certified Cost Consultants (CCC) and Certified Cost Engineers (CCE) since 1976, and has other programs accredited by the Council of Engineering Specialty Boards (CESB) and the International Cost Engineering Council (ICEC).

Find more information about the EVP certification or register online at www.aacei.org/certification.


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19th IPMA World Congress on Project Management - Vision to Reality –
the project management way

13-16 November 2005, New Delhi, India

IPMA invites you to come to India this November. The opportunity is twofold: the 19th IPMA World Congress scheduled between 13-16 November 2005 and the chance to visit incredible !ndia – at her festive best in November. For the first time in the last 40 years, this flagship IPMA event will be held outside Europe in a location that entrances the world as a tourist paradise , and simultaneously offers a dynamic business opportunity besides being a splendid venue for international conferences and conventions.

The congress has received unprecedented support from all quarters including 7 key central government ministries, 8 international partners including ICEC and 38 Indian industry associations.

Featuring a special invited address by Prof Ervin Laszlo - one of the foremost exponents of systems philosophy, besides 6 keynote presentations by top-notch speakers from all over the world and 60 paper presentations from over 40 countries.

We invite you to be part of this unique congress and join us in Delhi for the four days that promise the right mix of business and pleasure. A power-packed technical session. Four major streams with 25 sections

  • Stream 1: PM for Economic Transformation:
    • Infrastructure (Power & Construction;
    • Telecommunication;
    • Transportation (Road, Railways, Aviation & Shipping);
    • Energy (Oil, Gas & Coal);
    • Chemical and Petrochemicals; and
    • Poverty Alleviation.
  • Stream 2: Best Practices in PM/ Lessons Learned:
    • Manufacturing;
    • Research;
    • Pharmaceutical & Health Care;
    • Biotechnology;
    • IT & ITES;
    • Banking & Insurance; and
    • Quantity Surveying & Cost Engineering.
  • Stream 3: New Frontiers in Project Management:
    • Managing global project teams;
    • Competency measurements;
    • Certification & Qualification;
    • Project & program management balance score card;
    • Organisation project management maturity; and
    • Project mindset.
  • Stream 4: Project Management in Government:
    • Federal/central bodies;
    • State/provincial bodies;
    • NGOs;
    • International financial institutions;
    • International development agencies; and
    • Global Institutions.
Deadline How
Paper presentation 31 March 2005 Online submission at http://www.ipmacongress.org/wc/paperSubmission.asp
10% Early Bird Discount
on delegate registration
30 April 2005 Online registration and payment at:
http://www.ipmacongress.org/wc/participants.asp
5% Early Bird Discount
on delegate registration
31 July 2005 Online registration and payment at:
http://www.ipmacongress.org/wc/participants.asp

For more information contact the 19th IPMA World Congress Secretariat:


Address: A-48, Sector 5, Noida, UP, India;
Email: pma1@vsnl.com; and
Internet: www.ipmacongress.org.

See you in Delhi!


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Dear friends and colleagues

We live in the era of globalisation, fast technological development and constant change. The ability to quickly adapt to changes is becoming one of the key competences in the contemporary business world. Classical structures of company management are giving way to new forms of more flexible, project-network organisations.

Project work is spreading increasingly to all segments of economic and noneconomic organisations. Specialisation, technological excellence, "outsourcing", "networking", the ability to rapidly develop and adapt to changes are becoming the measures of business success in the modern world.

The same goes for the international organisations such as ICEC (International Cost Engineering Council) and IPMA (International Project Management Association). The first congress, which they are organising together, marks their integration into a network of international organisations which are developing the profession of project management at a global level.

This Global Congress of ICEC and IPMA on Project Management is the first and exemplary cooperation of both major world project management and cost engineering organisations addressing Value Management – How to Ensure Value for Project Stakeholders.

We are kindly inviting professionals, managers and researchers to participate in this excellent international event.

Dr. Brane Semolic
President of the International Scientific Committee
President of the Slovenian Project Management Association (ZPM)
Vice Chairman of ICEC

Andrej Kerin M.Sc
President of the Organising Committee
Vice President of ZPM

Contact details

For further information contact Alenka Kregar:

E-mail alenka.kregar@cd-cc.si; Phone - 386 1 2417133; Fax - 386 1 2417296.

Click here to go to the Congress website.

Preliminary Programme

Conference topics
  • Strategic Management;
  • Project Management;
  • Value Management;
  • Cost Engineering;
  • Risk Management;
  • Professional Development & Training;
  • Quantity Surveying; and
  • Special forums and panel discussions
.

Sunday, April 23 2006

  • Pre Congress Workshops and Seminars;
  • SIG Meetings;
  • IPMA Meetings;
  • ICEC Meetings;
  • Congress Registration; and
  • Reception of Congress Participants.

Monday, April 24 2006

  • Congress Registration;
  • Opening Ceremony;
  • Keynote Speakers;
  • Congress Streams; and
  • Ice-breaking Party.

Tuesday, April 25 2006

  • Keynote Speakers;
  • Congress Streams;
  • Open Forum on ICEC and UN programmes;
  • Academic Discussion Forum; and
  • Gala Dinner.

Wednesday, April 26 2006

  • Keynote Speakers;
  • Congress Streams;
  • Panel Discussions; and
  • Closing Ceremony.

1st ICEC & IPMA Global Congress on Project Management and at the same time the 5th World Cost Engineering, Project Management, Cost Management and Quantity Surveying Congress has already generated first responses all over the world and several experts have already promised their contribution by chairing the workshops, or special panels, open forums and holding key presentations. Among them, we have to emphasise Prof. Basie Verster, the Chairman of ICEC, Dr. Kenneth Humphreys, the Treasurer of ICEC, Adesh Jain, the President of IPMA, Sebastian Dworatschek, IPMI, Michel Thiry, Valense Ltd., Robert Hisrich, the Chair of Entrepreneurial Studies Marketing from Cleveland’s Weather head School of management and numerous other experts.

The Slovenian Ministry of Transport supports the conference and we also expect some other Ministries to become the supporters of this event. Several companies decided to play the role of sponsors of the Congress, including KD Group and the biggest Slovenian construction company SCT d.d. We also expect a number of supporters, associates, and partner associations from several partner countries to join soon. The Congress is promoted and advertised by all the associating organizations worldwide. We expect some of the leading companies in the world to participate in the Congress and present their case studies.

Academics, CEO’s, heads of governments, NGO’s, project consultants, trainers, Universities offering workshops, courses and seminars, developers, entrepreneurs, top Government officials and experts from all over the world will attend the congress. It is truly an excellent opportunity for all those who are interested in learning about the global trends in managing projects and in value management or ensuring the value for project stakeholders.

The World Congress will have at least four major parallel Streams depending on number of papers submitted and 7 different topics as mentioned above. Detailed programmes are available on our website

The International Scientific Committee will ensure high quality of the accepted papers. So we are inviting potential active participants to submit their papers on the mentioned topic for the Congress. The last date of abstract submission is 23 October 2005. For more details, please, visit our website.


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NORDNET 2005 Symposium


26 – 28 October 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark


NORDNET 2005 will take place at “Mehldals Smede” near the harbour and the new opera of Copenhagen. The theme of the symposium will be the new “National Competence Baseline for Scandinavia”.

The programme will include:

  • Four plenary sessions with key note speakers;
  • Twelve half-day workshops with coordinated speeches;
  • Two open streams of sessions with paper presentations; and
  • Eight project presentations in companies.

The main language is Scandinavian (Danish, Norwegian and Swedish). Two plenary sessions and one paper session stream are planned to be in English.

The preliminary titles/themes of the four half-day modules of the English lanaguage stream are:

  1. Lead project management through planning and evaluating the management effort and organising the management phases such as preparation, start-up and close-down;
  2. Perform project management which include both the overall definition of frames for the project and the ongoing management of the project execution;
  3. Manage corporate project processes including handling the project oriented management functions such as PMO, the project portfolio and programs; and
  4. Perform appropriate leadership behaviour which integrate the project process, promote the project performance and stimulate the co-operation between participants and parties.

For more information contact the host of NORDNET 2005 - the Association of Danish Project Management.


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9th PAQS Congress

25-28 June 2005, Dalian, China

Provisional Congress Programme

Date

Time

Event

SATURDAY 25th

15:00
Education and Accreditation Committee meeting*
SUNDAY 26th

8:00

Registration

9:00 - 12:00

PAQS Board meeting*

15: 00

ICEC Region 4 meeting*

MONDAY 27th

9:00 - 10:00

Opening ceremony

10:00- 18:00

Conference sessions

18:30

Welcome party

TUESDAY 28th

8:30 - 18:00

Conference sessions

18:30

Fashion show and Farewell party

Note "*" : Only for Board Members and Committee Members at Delight Hotel Dalian
www.9thpaqs-ceca.org.cn
E-mail-conference papers: paper@ceca.org.cn
E-mail: organise@ceca.org.cn
---Fax: 8610-58934648

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Member Reports

AACE International

AACE International’s 49th Annual Meeting

Save the Date!
June 26-29, 2005
New Orleans, LA, USA

For more information see the Coming Events Section of this issue of International Roundup.


"TCM — the Big Easy Way to Project Effectiveness"




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Associazione Italiana Di Ingegneria Economica (AICE)

AICE activities during 2004 have included:

  • The full course in Total Cost Management is now included in the official programs of the Bocconi University (Eleusi) and it's being held in Milano and Roma, a third session shall probably be in the South of Italy starting from 2006. The course, which is accrediated by ICEC, is a 30 - day - 240 hours course complete with lecturing, case studies,applications and exercises;
  • Giornate (Forum AICE - ICEC endorsed) The 2004 Forum was held in November and was an important event as we celebrated our 25th anniversary. The 2005 Forum shall be held in November 2005. The call for papers and programs shall be posted on both the AICE and ICEC web sites are soon as these become available;
  • The web-site has been improved with new section. Hovever, not all of them are in full operation yet;
  • A new branch of AICE of AICE in Roma has been active since the beginning of 2004.

Gianluca di Castri, FwAICE EIE ICECA
AICE Delegate to ICEC


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Australian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (AIQS)

Tsunami assistance from the AIQS

The AIQS has over 200 members in the region effected by the Boxing Day tsunami in the Indian Ocean/South East Asia area. Contact was made with the AIQS Representatives in Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and Singapore early after the tsunami disaster occurred. Fortunately, none of the AIQS members lost their lives in the tragedy but many lost family members, homes and possessions.

AIQS members in Sri Lanka were most effected and a number of our Student members from the University of Moratuwa suffered serious losses and found themselves with little but the clothes they were wearing.

Individual AIQS members like many Australians made personal donations to international tsunami relief agencies but the AIQS Council felt that the Institute should make a special effort to assist any members in need of urgent support.

Consequently, a sub committee of AIQS members in Sri Lanka was established to liaise with members and make recommendations to the AIQS Over Seas Committee for direct and immediate monetary donations to members in greatest need. Up to $10,000 Australian Dollars was set aside for these assistance payments to members in Sri Lanka.

Building cost research project continues

Over the last 3 years, the AIQS has conducted a quarterly survey of QS firms to determine the increase in building costs in all capital cities. This is known as the BRIX Survey and its results have proven to be very accurate over the years. The BRIX survey followed on from an earlier Victoria state building activity survey conducted by the AIQS Victoria Chapter and the University of Melbourne.

The BRIX survey is sponsored by the WESTPAC bank and the data analysis is conducted by Dr Anthony Mills of the University of Melbourne. Each quarterly survey report is placed on the BRIX website which is at www.brixsurvey.org .

The survey reports give such details as the forecast movement in costs for building materials eg concrete, steel etc as well as the expected percentage increase in CBD and non CBD building. They also show the current and expected activity in the various types of construction eg residential, commercial, health, education, sport and entertainment etc.

AIQS Members' Business Register

Each year the AIQS publishes a register of the QS firms that AIQS members own or work in. This Register gives contact details for the listed firms, plus a list of the services they offer and the areas of activity in which they have experience.

The Register also provides details on the CPD status of the firm’s staff and their AIQS membership qualifications. It can be found on the AIQS website.

Terry L. Sanders
AIQS General Manager


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Canadian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (CIQS)

Changes at CIQS

New Headquarters

The Canadian Institute of Quantity Surveyors is pleased to announce the move to our new headquarters. Our new details are as follows:

90 Nolan Court, Unit 19,
Markham, ON L3R 4L9
Telephone: (905) 477-0008
Toll free: 1-866-345-1189
Fax: (905) 477 6774
Email: info@ciqs.org

The new office is shared by our largest affiliated association, the Ontario Institute of Quantity Surveyors. The move is in response to a renewed commitment to better serve our members and the public. Our new location will provide a prominent and more professional location from which to promote the Institute. Improved services will include separate dedicated telephone lines for CIQS and OIQS, a toll free telephone number, space for meetings, seminars and examinations.

New Web Sites

The CIQS also launched a new web site at http://www.ciqs.org. Our new web site is designed so we can make changes to the site immediately.

Three of our affiliated associations have also launched new web sites this year:

New Magazine

The Canadian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (CIQS) is proud to announce its partnership with the publishing company of Craig Kelman & Associates in bringing you a new and improved Construction Economist. Making the progression from newsletter to magazine, the first issue will be published in April of 2005. Produced in 4-colour process on a high quality, glossy paper, the new look will include a revamped cover, layout and graphic design.

46th CIQS Annual General Meeting

The 46th Annual General Meeting of the Canadian Institute of Quantity Surveyors will be held at the Four Points Sheraton in Halifax, Nova Scotia on 4 June 2005. Visit our web site at www.ciqs.org for details.

A seminar on Life Cycle Costing (LCC) will be presented by Robert Charette, PQS on Friday 3 June 2005. The seminar will introduce ASTM LCC Standards and impart the skills necessary to apply LCC methodology to the evaluation and analysis of investments in buildings, specifically in the field of energy efficiency and Green Buildings/Sustainability.

9th PAQS Congress

The CIQS is pleased to be sending a representative to the 9th Pacific Association of Quantity Surveyors Congress in Dalian, China in June. The CIQS representative will be our Education Administrator, Clint Kissoon, PQS. The CIQS is proud to be participating in our first PAQS Congress and look forward to future involvement in PAQS.

ICEC Region 1 Annual Meeting

The ICEC Region 1 Annual Meeting will be held in conjunction with the AACE International 49th Annual General Meeting in New Orleans, Louisiana on June 26-29, 2005. The CIQS is pleased to be represented by Mr. Orest Stachniak, PQS. Representation at this conference, as well as PAQS, shows CIQS Council’s commitment to become involved in the international associations to which we belong.

Lois Metcalfe
Executive Director
CIQS


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CEASA Project Control and Support Specialists

Seminars/Conferences/Congresses held since the last ICEC Region Meeting

  • 2 Critical Chain;
  • 2 New Engineering Contract; and
  • 2 Earned Value.

Training/Certification

  • ELPAVO Training do all the training for the International Certification Program CCE/CCC and ICC;
  • The PSP program will start not later than June 2005; and
  • The South African Standards are being accredited and should be approved in this year.

Co-operation with other member organizations are on-going or desirable

We have a cooperation agreement with PMISA and also with ACostE. We also work very closely with the Canadians.

Any other items of interest

  • We have held monthly skills enrichment meetings which have been very well attended; and
  • We have three possibilities of branches in Durban, Cape Town and Mpumalanga, which should be up and running by end of the year
.

This report was extracted from CEASA's report to the 2005 ICEC Region 3 Annual Meeting.


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Foreningen for Dansk Projektledelse (FDP)

A new Cost Engineering Development Group established

The overall purpose of the the group is to contribute to the development to the development of the Cost Engineering Professions in Denmark. That implies a strengthening of the professional skills and the dissemination of the knowledge of the content of cost engineering.

The tasks of the working group are:

  • Exchange of experiences and skills within the group and between the group and external persons / organisations;
  • Development and disseminations of told and methods concerning cost engineering for the benefit of project management;
  • Take the initiative in planning meetings and seminars on cost engineering, including inviting international and national speakers to these meetings;
  • Planning and co-ordination of participation in external events;
  • Development and establishment of cost engineering education and certification of cost engineering; and
  • Co-operation with other groups, national and international organisations

The group is open to new members, and we would also like to establish contact with similiar groups abroad. If you are interested please contact Carsten Wredstrom.

Nordnet 2005 Conference - 27-28 October

Cost engineerng subjects will included in tracks conducted in both Scandinavian and English. Please visit http://www.projektforeningen.dk for further details.

The annual ICEC Region 2 meeting will be held in conjunction with this conference on Saturday 29 October 2005. For further details contact ICEC Region 2 Director, Carsten Wredstrom


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Ghana Institute of Quantity Surveyors

Organisation of the Quantity Surveying Division

The Quantity Surveying Division is organized under the umbrella of the Ghana Institution of Surveyors, which has three (3) Division namely:

  • Quantity Surveying Division
  • General Practice Division (Valuation)
  • Land Surveying Division

The Division is semi-autonomous as it has its own Executive and hold monthly Meetings at which decisions, which regulate Quantity Surveying Practice in the country, are made. However, these decisions when made have to be ratified by the Council of the Ghana Institution of Surveyors of which the Division is currently represented by six (6) Members and holds its Senior Vice Presidency.

The current Executive Members of the Division are:

  • Mr. K. H. Osei-Asante (F) - Chairman;
  • Mr. D. K. Kyere (F) - Vice Chairman;
  • Mr. Ben B. Annan (PA) - Secretary; and
  • Mr. J. A. Koranteng (PA) - Treasurer.

The Executive is assisted by six (6) standing Sub-Committees namely:

  1. Education and Membership;
  2. Members and Public Affairs;
  3. Continuing Professional Development;
  4. Research and Development, and
  5. Finance.

Click here to view a current list Council Members of the GhIS.

Education and admission procedures

Entry to the Q. S. Division of the Institution is via three (3) routes:

  • University Graduate Route;
  • Polytechnic Graduate Route; and
  • Matured Candidate Route.

The University Graduate takes structured Examinations after serving Probationership in an approved office for a minimum of two (2) years.

The Polytechnic Graduate initially is admitted as a Technician Member on passing an interview after having served a minimum of a two-year probationership. They may then graduate into the Professional Class, on taking further Examinations of the Division.

The Matured Candidate route relates to candidates with vast experience in Quantity Surveying Practice and of not less then forty-five (45) years hours in their offices and thereafter interviewed.

Notwithstanding routes, the Division grants exemptions, subject to interviews, to Candidates with certain Diplomas i.e. RICS, NIQS etc on the basis of reciprocity.

It is intended that with standardization and harmonization of syllabi, certification and accreditation under ICEC & AAQS umbrella, such exemptions may be extended to other sister Professional Associations and Societies.

Current Membership

The current Membership of the Division stands at:

Fellows 35
Professional Associates 153
Surveying Technicians 52
Total 240

Practising firms

Currently, there are fifty-two (52) Firms practising Quantity Surveying in Ghana and recognized by the Ghana Institution of Surveyors’ Council.

CPD Activities

The Division holds yearly Seminars and Workshops for its Members where topical issues are discussed. The 2004 Seminar and Workshop was on the “Public Procurement Law (Act 663): A Wheel for Transparency Accountability and Fair Competition in the Construction Industry. Four (4) Papers were presented besides the Keynote Address and a Workshop on the “Role of GhIS to ensure the efficient implementation of the Laws on Financial Administration” was held.

The communiqué / recommendations made at the seminar / workshop has been sent to the Public Procurement Board.

The GhIS will host the 2006 FIG Africa Regional Meeting in February, 2006 and it is intended that the ICEC Africa Regional Meeting is held in Accra to reduce costs, using the MOU with the FIG as basis.

In addition to this, Quantity Luncheon Meetings are also organized for Members to discuss topical practice issues and attending other Divisions’ Workshops, Seminars and Luncheon Meetings.

Publications

The Division publishes quarterly News magazines on it activities. Papers presented by its members and other allied professionals are published in them.

Future electronic copies will be made available for publication on ICEC Website with your kind permission.

Other activities

The Division was involved with other stakeholders in the drafting of the Procurement Act for Ghana. It is also holding discussions with the Contractors Associations of Ghana to review the Ghana Government Conditions of Contract, which is widely used and understood in the country.

The Division was involved in the drafting of Survey Council Bill to ensure in the regulation of the practice of Surveying in Ghana.

GhIS AGM & Presidential Ball

The 36th Annual General Meeting (AGM) with a Presidential Lecture and Ball of the Institution took place on 11th and 12th February, 2005 at the Osu Presbyterian Hall and Aviation Social Centre, Accra respectively. The Vice-Chancellor of the Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology was the Guest of Honour, where Ten (10) Professional Associates and eight (8) Technicians were admitted to the Roll of the Q. S. Division.


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Institute of Quantity Surveyors of Kenya (IQSK)

Number of Members by Category (as of 1 December 2004)

Fellow members 17
Corporate members 143
Licentiate members 5
Graduate members 12
Technician members 6
Students 46
TOTAL 229

Seminar/Conferences/Congresses

  • CPD one day Seminar - 19 August 2004;
  • IQSK Golf Tournament - 17 September 2004;
  • 10th Anniversary Dinner Dance - 3 December 2004;
  • Various Industrial visits to manufacturing companies; and
  • Luncheons with guest speakers.
.

Scheduled Future Seminar/Conferences/Congresses

  • Annual General Meeting - 19 May 2005;
  • Fund-raising Gold Tournament - 8 July 2005;
  • CPD Seminar - 6 October 2005; and
  • Annual Dinner Dance - December 2005.

Potential Future Events Under Consideration

  • Major conference on Cost Information Data Center

New Initiatives/Innovations

Forecasting on investing in a building to house IQSK Secretariat; and Diversification into income generating activities (self reliance from subscription income).

Important New Publications

  • IQSK Quarterly Journal; and
  • Cost Handbook – Cost Data Centre.

Issues where cooperation with other member organizations are on-going desirable

  • Working towards E. Africa region technical and profession co-operation.

*This report has been extracted from the IQSK Report to the 2005 ICEC Region 3, Annual Meeting.


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Japan Society of Cost and Project Engineers (JSCPE)

Congresses & Symposia:

  • The 11th General Meeting of JSCPE - The 11th General Meeting was held in Ashiya Citizen Center on February 25, 2005. The General Meeting and Special Lecture were done held at the same time;
  • The Society of Chemical engineers- Japan (SCEJ)- SIS Sectional Committee, Cost Engineering Subcommittee and JSCPE Cooperation Training Camp - June 2005;
  • The 38th Fall Meeting of SCEJ-Cost Engineering Subcommittee - September 2005; and
  • 10th Fall Meeting of JSCPE, November 2005

New Officers Election

We have conducted the election of 2006 – 20074 Officers on 25 February 2005. The new officers and structure of JSCPE are outlined in the attached organisation chart.

Topics

Discussions have been held of how students and JSPCE members can acquire qualifications in Japan. Currently the Certified Cost Engineer qualification of AACE International and the Project Management Professional qualification of the Project Management Institute are available. JSCPE is also considering the possibility of conducting examinations for cost engineering certification.

Yoshimi Saito (President Director of JSCPE) plans to publish a guidebook with Cost Engineer's Qualification Authorization System of Item C in 2005.


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Nigerian Institute of Quantity Surveyors (NIQS)

NIQS Council Election

The Nigerian Institute of Quantity Surveyors 21st Biennial Conference and General Meeting was held at Premier Hotel, Ibadan (the capital of the state of Oyo) from Wednesday 24 November to Saturday 27 November 2004. At this meeting the following were elected / coopted to run the affairs of the Institute for a period of two years:

Mr Emmanuel C Oforeh President
Mr Francis O Adetola Deputy President
Mr Agele J Alufohai Vice President
Mr J Olusegun Ajanlekoko Immediate Past President
Mallam Hassan Aminu-Kano Secretary General
Alhaji M K A Olayiwola Assistant Secretary General
Mr J A Bamdupe Treasurer
Mr S I J Onwusonye Secretary Professional Development
Alhaji Danladi M Muhammadu Secretary Marketing and Corporate Affairs
Mr Olawole Adebola Ex-Officio
Mr Godwin S Obasuyi Ex-Officio
Prince Abdulfatai Y A Alhassan Co-opted member
Mrs Celestina N Eke Co-opted member

New constitution

A new constitution was adopted by the Institute at the Conference / General Meeting.

The 3rd Triennial General Assembly

The 3rd Triennial General Assembly, was jointly organised by NIQS, AAQS and ICEC and hosted by Nigeria at the Rockview Hotel II, Abuja, Nigeria. The theme was "New Economic Partnership for African Deve,oment (NEPAD), Challenges for the built-environment professionals".

The conference has the following sub-themes:

  • Towards an African Economic Union;
  • Unlocking the potentials in NEPAD;
  • The role of African Quantity Surveyors in achievement of the NEPAD agenda;
  • The imperatives of a uniform standard in quantity surveying practice in Africa;
  • Quantity surveying education education and training in Africa;
  • Quantity Surveying practice across Africa;
    1. Ghanaian experience;
    2. Nigerian experience;
    3. South African experience; and the
    4. Kenyan experience;
  • Review of contracting business in African countries;
  • Partnering government in professional practice development in Africa
  • Putting the quanity surveying at the front-end of the development process; and
  • Quantity surveying and engineering projects in Africa.

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Norsk Forening for Prosjektledelse (NFP)

Some highlights from the Norwegian PM-scene

Membership and local chapters

NFP has close to 600 members.

Local chapters in Oslo, Stavanger, Trondheim and Telemark are active in promoting project management in their communities. Member meetings attract typically some 15-20 people. Effort is being put into increasing the number of local chapters.

AACEI Norway

The local chapter of AACEI is counting some 45 members, mainly from the large engineering companies and oil & gas companies in Norway. Their main focus is on cost engineering and cost estimating. The activity is reduced compared to the level 3-5 years ago.

NSP

The Norwegian Centre for Project Management (NSP), established in spring 2000, continues to play an important role in developing Norwegian PM-competencies further. So far 26 companies and organisations have joined NSP. NSP has held several seminars on different aspects of PM. NSP is also funding PM-research. The following research projects are currently in progress:

  • Organizational Challenges in Digitized Value Chains;
  • Risk Management;
  • Public Private Partnership in Construction Projects;
  • Teams and Team Development in Projects;
  • Knowledge Management in Projects;
  • Risk Management as a Learning Arena; and
  • In addition NSP is participating in Concept, a major research program financed by the Royal Department of Finance, Norway.
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Certification

Since 1998 PMI’s certification of project management knowledge (PMP) has been offered in Norway. Some 300 persons have been PMP-certified in Norway, up from some 175 in 2004. A local Norwegian PMI chapter in Oslo was founded in 2000 and has currently more than 330 members. Several candidates are in the pipeline for PMP-test in April and November 2005. A local PMI chapter in Bergen has recently been officially chartered by PMI. They are also offering PMP-certification in 2005.

The CCE certification is not more progressing. Of the some 40 persons that have been certified in Norway so far, most have not maintained their certification.

IPMA certification is also offered in Norway. The first batch of candidates has been certified. NFP is the driving force with excellent support from the Danish PM association.

Competence baseline

The Scandinavian Competence Baseline on Project Management is completed and is ready for sale. This is a joint effort between the national project management associations in Denmark, Sweden and Norway, Denmark being in lead.

Publications

NFP’s Norwegian magazine “Prosjektledelse” (Project Management) continues with two issues yearly, each with 1000 copies. The magazine continues at a high professional level encompassing articles from many application areas of project management. The magazine continues to be THE arena for the Norwegian PM-society.

NFPs new book on Project Management, in very handy format, has sold in more than 1200 copies.

The PMBOK® Guide, translated into the Norwegian language, has been a success, recognized and used in several companies and student PM-training programs. 1000 copies have been sold.

Congresses/seminars

NSP has a workshop on knowledge management in March.

NFP yearly conference “The frontiers of project management” is due in May. The yearly NSP conference “Project 2005” is due in September. These are main events and draw regularly 200-300 participants each.

Education

Several project management education programs are in progress on Norwegian universities and business schools. The project management programs continue to be among the most popular programs.

Håvard O.Skaldebø
ICEC Delegate, NFP


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Projekt Management Austria

Review 04 - Preview 05

2004 was a successful year for PROJEKT MANAGEMENT AUSTRIA (pma) in many respects: about 700 new certified project managers, over 100 new members and about 700 guests at events organized by the Austrian member association of IPMA really are a satisfying reason to start the new year highly motivated!

With more than 2.000 certified project managers, Austria now is on the 3rd position of the international ranking of certifying countries (behind China and Germany). About 700 PM-professionals (66 level B, 300 level C and 314 level D) have proven their knowledge and experience by becoming certified Project Managers. Mentioning the comparatively small population of Austria, this probably is the most efficient way of fulfilling the purpose of the association - promoting Project Management as a profession!

Being an interesting platform for members and all others persons interested in Project Management, pma will continue its attractive offer of services and events. Just to mention one event – pma focus 2005 will take place September 21st and 22nd, 2005 and cover the interesting topic of “Linie.Macht.Projekte.”, to be translated as “Line.Power.Projects.” – if you´re interested in the area of conflict between line-organisation and project management, please refer to out homepage for more details and register soon!

In January pma has introduced a new version of “pm baseline”, the national competence baseline, which was revised and updated. The focus of the new version is on offering the competence baseline for hands-on deployment but also assuring the high level of quality in certification.

Contact: PROJEKT MANAGEMENT AUSTRIA, Palais Schlick, Tuerkenstraße 25/2/21, A-1090 Vienna, Tel.: +43 (1) 319 29 21, Fax: +43 (1) 319 29 21 - 29, Email: office@p-m-a.at. Internet: http://www.p-m-a.at


PO Box 301
Deakin West ACT 2600
AUSTRALIA
National Surveyors House
27 - 29 Napier Close
Deakin ACT AUSTRALIA

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